Sport Picks

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Tocantinopolis vs Bela Vista-TO

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Samuel Costa
85' Event
Henrique P.

AI Match Summary

Tocantinopolis in this Tocantinense matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tocantinopolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Tocantinopolis
15%
Draws
37%
Bela Vista-TO
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tocantinopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Bela Vista-TO haven't matched Tocantinopolis's recent run of results.
  • Tocantinopolis are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tocantinense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 20%
Bela Vista-TO Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocantinopolis Bela Vista-TO
Matches Played 46 32
Wins 24 12
Draws 11 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.96 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Bela Vista-TO
2:0
Feb 15, 2025 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Bela Vista-TO
0:1
Feb 9, 2024 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Bela Vista-TO
2:1
Mar 5, 2023 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Bela Vista-TO
1:1
Feb 26, 2022 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Bela Vista-TO
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tocantinopolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Samuel Costa
1 Goals
Assists Leader Henrique P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Bela Vista-TO Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantinopolis 85 / 100
Bela Vista-TO 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocantinopolis Bela Vista-TO

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tocantinopolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tocantinopolis scored in 80% of their last 46 outings.

Defensive concern: Bela Vista-TO conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Tocantinopolis remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tocantinopolis VS Bela Vista-TO
1.25 Goals Scored 5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocantinopolis

(Home)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1
Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1
Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
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Bela Vista-TO

(Away)
07 Mar
Palmas
2 : 5
Bela Vista-TO
22 Feb
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 1
Araguaina
14 Feb
Gurupi
5 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
07 Feb
Uniao Carmolandense
3 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
01 Feb
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 0
Capital FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 7 6 1 0 10:1 19
2 Uniao Carmolandense 7 4 1 2 12:5 13
3 Gurupi 7 4 1 2 10:6 13
4 Capital FC 7 2 3 2 10:9 9
5 Araguaina 7 2 2 3 7:7 8
6 Bela Vista-TO 7 2 2 3 8:14 8
7 Palmas 7 1 2 4 4:10 5
8 Guarai SC 7 0 2 5 3:12 2
Promotion - Tocantinense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Tocantinense 2 2027 (Main)