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Tocantinopolis vs Bela Vista-TO

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Elves

AI Match Summary

The Tocantinense 2025 game between Tocantinopolis and Bela Vista-TO finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bela Vista-TO.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Tocantinopolis
15%
Draws
37%
Bela Vista-TO
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tocantinopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tocantinopolis come out ahead of Bela Vista-TO on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tocantinopolis's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tocantinense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 20%
Bela Vista-TO Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocantinopolis Bela Vista-TO
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 11 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Bela Vista-TO
2:0
Feb 15, 2025 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Bela Vista-TO
0:1
Feb 9, 2024 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Bela Vista-TO
2:1
Mar 5, 2023 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Bela Vista-TO
1:1
Feb 26, 2022 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Bela Vista-TO
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tocantinopolis Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Bela Vista-TO Compare

Top Goalscorer Elves
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantinopolis 85 / 100
Bela Vista-TO 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocantinopolis Bela Vista-TO

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tocantinopolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bela Vista-TO let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Tocantinopolis's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Tocantinopolis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tocantinopolis VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocantinopolis

(Home)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1
Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1
Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
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Bela Vista-TO

(Away)
07 Mar
Palmas
2 : 5
Bela Vista-TO
22 Feb
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 1
Araguaina
14 Feb
Gurupi
5 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
07 Feb
Uniao Carmolandense
3 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
01 Feb
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 0
Capital FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 7 5 1 1 15:6 16
2 Capital FC 7 5 0 2 8:4 15
3 Araguaina 7 3 1 3 9:7 10
4 Gurupi 7 2 4 1 9:5 10
5 Uniao Carmolandense 7 3 1 3 7:12 7
6 Bela Vista-TO 7 2 1 4 7:11 7
7 Batalhao 7 1 3 3 12:11 6
8 Tocantins 7 1 1 5 4:15 4
Promotion - Tocantinense 2025 (Play Offs)