Sport Picks
Tocantinopolis vs Capital FC Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Tocantinense 
Match Events
1'
1'
Joao Victor
55'
55'
Sousa Araujo R.
90'
90'
Romulo
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-2. This leg finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
20%
15%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tocantinopolis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Tocantinopolis have won more games recently than Capital FC.
- Win probability leans Tocantinopolis's way, sitting at 80%.
- Tocantinopolis have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Tocantinopolis, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Tocantinopolis here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 68%
Capital FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tocantinopolis | Capital FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 35 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 13 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.09 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Capital FC
2:2
Mar 14, 2026 Tocantinense
Capital FC vs Tocantinopolis
1:2
Mar 7, 2026 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Capital FC
2:1
Feb 22, 2025 Tocantinense
Capital FC vs Tocantinopolis
2:3
Mar 24, 2024 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Capital FC
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tocantinopolis Compare
Top Goalscorer Romulo
1 Goals Assists Leader Rogerio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Capital FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Joao Victor
1 Goals Assists Leader Sousa Araujo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tocantinopolis 86 / 100
Capital FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tocantinopolis Capital FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tocantinopolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Tocantinopolis's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 37 recent games.
Capital FC let in goals in 74% of their last 35 matches.
Tocantinopolis went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tocantinopolis VS Capital FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.33
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Tocantinopolis
(Home) 06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1 Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1 Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1 Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0 Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3 Tocantinopolis
Page 1 of 8
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1 Oratorio
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0 Imperatriz
02 May
Tocantinopolis
1 : 1 Tuna Luso
19 Apr
Tocantinopolis
0 : 1 Trem
16 Apr
Tocantinopolis
0 : 0 Atletico GO
Page 1 of 4
Capital FC
(Away) 21 Mar
Tocantinopolis
2 : 2 Capital FC
14 Mar
Capital FC
1 : 2 Tocantinopolis
07 Mar
Tocantinopolis
2 : 1 Capital FC
04 Mar
Capital FC
1 : 2 Manaus FC
21 Feb
Capital FC
1 : 1 Palmas
Page 1 of 7
21 Mar
Tocantinopolis
2 : 2 Capital FC
07 Mar
Tocantinopolis
2 : 1 Capital FC
01 Feb
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 0 Capital FC
24 Jan
Guarai SC
1 : 3 Capital FC
18 Mar
Araguaina
1 : 2 Capital FC
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Tocantinopolis 4
Capital FC 3
Uniao Carmolandense 3
Gurupi 2
Final
Tocantinopolis 3
Uniao Carmolandense 2
