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Tocantinopolis vs Forca Jovem Aquidaba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2019
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Tocantinopolis advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tocantinopolis
15%
Draws
34%
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tocantinopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Tocantinopolis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tocantinopolis are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Tocantinopolis have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tocantinopolis, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 20%
Forca Jovem Aquidaba Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocantinopolis Forca Jovem Aquidaba
Matches Played 32 24
Wins 12 10
Draws 12 3
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.31 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2019 Tocantinense
Forca Jovem Aquidaba vs Tocantinopolis
1:1
Jun 5, 2019 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Forca Jovem Aquidaba
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantinopolis 85 / 100
Forca Jovem Aquidaba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocantinopolis Forca Jovem Aquidaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tocantinopolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Forca Jovem Aquidaba conceded in 83% of 24 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Tocantinopolis scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Tocantinopolis stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tocantinopolis VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocantinopolis

(Home)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1
Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1
Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
Page 1 of 7

Forca Jovem Aquidaba

(Away)
11 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
1 : 2
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
05 Oct
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
1 : 3
Socorro
01 Oct
Coritiba SE
1 : 0
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
21 Sept
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
2 : 1
Aracaju FC
17 Sept
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
0 : 1
Socorrense
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Tocantinopolis 2
Forca Jovem Aquidaba 1
Interporto 3
Palmas 4
Final
Tocantinopolis 1
Palmas 4