Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tocantinopolis vs Gama

Brazil Brazil

Copa Centro-Oeste Estadio Jonas Duarte, Anápolis
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Rogerio
64' Event
Cordeiro Nunes K. L.
77' Event
Ramon

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Tocantinopolis
20%
Draws
38%
Gama
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tocantinopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Tocantinopolis haven't matched Gama's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Gama arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gama, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Gama have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 68%
Gama Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocantinopolis Gama
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 20
Draws 11 6
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.33 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.90 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Copa Centro-Oeste
Tocantinopolis vs Gama
1:2
Aug 21, 2011 Serie D
Tocantinopolis vs Gama
1:3
Aug 6, 2011 Serie D
Gama vs Tocantinopolis
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tocantinopolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Rogerio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.95

Gama Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordeiro Nunes K. L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ramon
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantinopolis 41 / 100
Gama 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocantinopolis Gama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tocantinopolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Tocantinopolis found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Tocantinopolis remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Gama has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tocantinopolis VS Gama
2.8 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
80% Over 2.5 63%
80% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocantinopolis

(Home)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1
Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1
Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
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Gama

(Away)
30 Aug
Gama
0 : 0
ASA
23 Aug
ASA
2 : 0
Gama
16 Aug
Gama
4 : 0
EC Sao Jose (PA)
08 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 1
Gama
26 Jul
Gama
4 : 2
America RN
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 5 2 2 1 10:4 8
2 Rio Branco ES 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
3 Operario MS 5 2 2 1 8:10 8
4 Araguaina 5 2 1 2 6:4 7
5 Capital 5 1 3 1 6:7 6
6 Primavera AC 5 0 2 3 6:12 2
Promotion - Copa Centro-Oeste (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gama 5 5 0 0 8:3 15
2 Anapolis 5 3 0 2 9:3 9
3 Atletico GO 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
4 Porto Vitoria 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
5 Tocantinopolis 5 0 3 2 2:5 3
6 Cuiaba 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Copa Centro-Oeste (Play Offs)