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Tocantinopolis vs Guarany - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil

Serie D 2021

Tocantinopolis

4 - 2

Guarany

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Jheimy

(Penalty)

52'

Felipe Hulk

56'

Jheimy

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tocantinopolis in this Serie D 2021 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tocantinopolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%

Tocantinopolis

15%

Draws

26%

Guarany

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tocantinopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence

Guarany haven't matched Tocantinopolis's recent run of results.
Model gives Tocantinopolis a 59% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 44%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 68%

Guarany Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tocantinopolis	Guarany
Matches Played	36	30
Wins	13	11
Draws	12	6
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	1.33	1.1
Goals Conceded	1.17	1.3
Expected Goals (xG)	1.23	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2021 Serie D

Guarany vs Tocantinopolis

2:1

Jun 27, 2021 Serie D

Tocantinopolis vs Guarany

4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tocantinopolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Jheimy

1 Goals

Assists Leader Cardoso S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.95

Avg xA / game 0.61

Guarany Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Hulk

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantinopolis 68 / 100

Guarany 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tocantinopolis Guarany

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tocantinopolis Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Tocantinopolis's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Defensive concern: Guarany conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Tocantinopolis stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tocantinopolis VS -

1.25 Goals Scored 0

1.25 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocantinopolis

(Home)

06 Jun

Tocantinopolis

7 : 1

Oratorio

30 May

Aguia De Maraba

3 : 1

Tocantinopolis

23 May

Trem

4 : 1

Tocantinopolis

16 May

Tocantinopolis

2 : 0

Imperatriz

10 May

Tuna Luso

2 : 3

Tocantinopolis

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Guarany

(Away)

03 Oct

Guarany

0 : 2

Campinense

25 Sept

Campinense

2 : 1

Guarany

20 Sept

Guarany

2 : 0

Galvez

13 Sept

Galvez

0 : 0

Guarany

04 Sept

Paragominas

2 : 1

Guarany

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