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Tocantinopolis vs Gurupi

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tocantinense 2025 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Tocantinopolis
15%
Draws
37%
Gurupi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tocantinopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Gurupi haven't matched Tocantinopolis's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Tocantinopolis have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 20%
Gurupi Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocantinopolis Gurupi
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 13 13
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Tocantinopolis
0:2
Dec 24, 2025 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Gurupi
0:0
Dec 21, 2025 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Tocantinopolis
1:2
Mar 1, 2025 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Gurupi
1:1
Feb 24, 2024 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Tocantinopolis
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantinopolis 31 / 100
Gurupi 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocantinopolis Gurupi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tocantinopolis's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: Gurupi conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Tocantinopolis stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Tocantinopolis VS Gurupi
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocantinopolis

(Home)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1
Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1
Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
Page 1 of 7

Gurupi

(Away)
21 Mar
Uniao Carmolandense
1 : 1
Gurupi
14 Mar
Gurupi
1 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
21 Feb
Gurupi
0 : 2
Tocantinopolis
14 Feb
Gurupi
5 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Capital FC 2
Araguaina 4
Gurupi 1
Tocantinopolis 2
Final
Araguaina 3
Tocantinopolis 2