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Tocantinopolis vs Gurupi

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2018
Tocantinopolis Logo

Tocantinopolis

0 - 4
FT
Gurupi Logo

Gurupi

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2018 game between Tocantinopolis and Gurupi finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gurupi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Tocantinopolis
15%
Draws
37%
Gurupi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tocantinopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Tocantinopolis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 20%
Gurupi Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocantinopolis Gurupi
Matches Played 40 33
Wins 19 11
Draws 13 13
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.98 1.15
Goals Conceded 1 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Tocantinopolis
0:2
Dec 24, 2025 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Gurupi
0:0
Dec 21, 2025 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Tocantinopolis
1:2
Mar 1, 2025 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Gurupi
1:1
Feb 24, 2024 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Tocantinopolis
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantinopolis 31 / 100
Gurupi 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocantinopolis Gurupi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tocantinopolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tocantinopolis found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (40 games).

Gurupi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 33 matches.

Tocantinopolis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Tocantinopolis VS Gurupi
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocantinopolis

(Home)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1
Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1
Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
Page 1 of 8

Gurupi

(Away)
21 Mar
Uniao Carmolandense
1 : 1
Gurupi
14 Mar
Gurupi
1 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
21 Feb
Gurupi
0 : 2
Tocantinopolis
14 Feb
Gurupi
5 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Interporto 12 5 7 0 17:7 22
2 Tocantinopolis 12 6 3 3 19:14 21
3 Palmas 12 5 5 2 18:11 20
4 Gurupi 12 5 4 3 23:10 19
5 SD Sparta 12 4 3 5 18:17 15
6 Araguaina 12 3 6 3 13:13 15
7 Paraiso EC 12 0 0 12 0:36 0
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2018 (Play Offs)