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Tocantinopolis vs Gurupi

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2018
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2018 game between Tocantinopolis and Gurupi finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gurupi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Tocantinopolis
39%
Draws
31%
Gurupi
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Tocantinopolis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 20%
Gurupi Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocantinopolis Gurupi
Matches Played 39 31
Wins 18 10
Draws 13 13
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Tocantinopolis
0:2
Dec 24, 2025 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Gurupi
0:0
Dec 21, 2025 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Tocantinopolis
1:2
Mar 1, 2025 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Gurupi
1:1
Feb 24, 2024 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Tocantinopolis
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantinopolis 31 / 100
Gurupi 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocantinopolis Gurupi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tocantinopolis found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (39 games).

Gurupi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Tocantinopolis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Tocantinopolis VS Gurupi
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocantinopolis

(Home)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1
Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1
Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
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Gurupi

(Away)
21 Mar
Uniao Carmolandense
1 : 1
Gurupi
14 Mar
Gurupi
1 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
21 Feb
Gurupi
0 : 2
Tocantinopolis
14 Feb
Gurupi
5 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Interporto1257017:722
2Tocantinopolis1263319:1421
3Palmas1255218:1120
4Gurupi1254323:1019
5SD Sparta1243518:1715
6Araguaina1236313:1315
7Paraiso EC1200120:360
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2018 (Play Offs)