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Tocantinopolis vs Paraiso EC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2015 game between Tocantinopolis and Paraiso EC finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Tocantinopolis
15%
Draws
8%
Paraiso EC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tocantinopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tocantinopolis come out ahead of Paraiso EC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tocantinopolis a 77% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 36.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 20%
Paraiso EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocantinopolis Paraiso EC
Matches Played 42 29
Wins 21 4
Draws 13 6
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 2.02 0.62
Goals Conceded 0.95 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.89
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2018 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Paraiso EC
3:0
Apr 8, 2018 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Tocantinopolis
0:3
May 21, 2016 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Tocantinopolis
5:2
Apr 23, 2016 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Paraiso EC
2:0
Apr 26, 2015 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Tocantinopolis
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantinopolis 85 / 100
Paraiso EC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocantinopolis Paraiso EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tocantinopolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tocantinopolis scored in 81% of their last 42 outings.

Defensive concern: Paraiso EC conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Tocantinopolis remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tocantinopolis VS Paraiso EC
0.88 Goals Scored 0.4
1.38 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 80%
13% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocantinopolis

(Home)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1
Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1
Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
Page 1 of 9

Paraiso EC

(Away)
26 Sept
Paraiso EC
2 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
19 Sept
Paraiso EC
0 : 8
Interporto
12 Sept
Paraiso EC
0 : 3
Batalhao
05 Sept
Sao Jose (TO)
6 : 0
Paraiso EC
15 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Alvorada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 14 7 5 2 19:12 26
2 Interporto 14 6 5 3 25:23 23
3 Palmas 14 7 1 6 23:17 22
4 Gurupi 14 6 3 5 19:15 21
5 Paraiso EC 14 5 5 4 19:16 20
6 Araguaina 14 5 3 6 18:21 18
7 Tocantins 14 4 2 8 23:33 14
8 Guarai SC 14 3 2 9 20:29 11
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2015 (Play Offs)