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Tocantinopolis vs Tocantins

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2017
Tocantinopolis Logo

Tocantinopolis

1 - 0
FT
Tocantins Logo

Tocantins

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tocantinopolis in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tocantinopolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Tocantinopolis
15%
Draws
8%
Tocantins
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tocantinopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tocantinopolis lately — more wins on the board than Tocantins.
  • Tocantinopolis are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tocantinopolis have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 20%
Tocantins Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocantinopolis Tocantins
Matches Played 49 34
Wins 26 8
Draws 13 5
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 2.06 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.08 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2025 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Tocantinopolis
0:3
Mar 10, 2024 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Tocantins
3:0
Mar 26, 2023 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Tocantins
4:1
Mar 20, 2023 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Tocantinopolis
0:4
Feb 12, 2023 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Tocantins
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantinopolis 85 / 100
Tocantins 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocantinopolis Tocantins

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tocantinopolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tocantinopolis found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (49 games).

Tocantins let in goals in 82% of their last 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Tocantinopolis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tocantinopolis VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocantinopolis

(Home)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1
Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1
Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
Page 1 of 10

Tocantins

(Away)
01 Nov
Guarai SC
3 : 0
Tocantins
25 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
11 Oct
Central Tocantinense
3 : 0
Tocantins
04 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Paraiso EC
15 Mar
Tocantins
1 : 1
Gurupi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Interporto 6 3 2 1 7:3 11
2 Gurupi 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
3 Paraiso EC 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
4 Capital FC 6 0 2 4 7:12 2
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Sparta 6 4 2 0 13:4 14
2 Tocantinopolis 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Tocantins 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
4 Colinas 6 0 1 5 4:15 1
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2017 (Play Offs)