Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tocantins U20 vs Guarai SC U20

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense U20 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tocantins U20 in this Tocantinense U20 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tocantins U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Tocantins U20
20%
Draws
50%
Guarai SC U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guarai SC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Guarai SC U20 at 1.64 per game, Tocantins U20 at 0.92.
  • Guarai SC U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Tocantins U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Guarai SC U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocantins U20 Guarai SC U20
Matches Played 13 11
Wins 4 4
Draws 1 4
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 0.92 1.64
Goals Conceded 2.77 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Tocantinense U20
Tocantins U20 vs Guarai SC U20
2:1
Apr 28, 2024 Tocantinense U20
Tocantins U20 vs Guarai SC U20
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantins U20 10 / 100
Guarai SC U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocantins U20 Guarai SC U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarai SC U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarai SC U20 has conceded goals in 64% of their last 11 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Tocantins U20 found the back of the net in 46% of recent matches (13 games).

Tocantins U20 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tocantins U20 VS Guarai SC U20
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocantins U20

(Home)
01 Jun
Tocantinopolis U20
7 : 0
Tocantins U20
25 May
Tocantins U20
0 : 7
Tocantinopolis U20
10 May
Araguacema U20
0 : 3
Tocantins U20
03 May
Tocantins U20
0 : 2
Araguaina U20
01 May
SD Sparta U20
4 : 1
Tocantins U20
Page 1 of 3

Guarai SC U20

(Away)
17 May
Guarai SC U20
3 : 0
Araguacema U20
10 May
Araguaina U20
2 : 1
Guarai SC U20
03 May
Guarai SC U20
2 : 2
SD Sparta U20
26 Apr
Tocantins U20
2 : 1
Guarai SC U20
25 May
Guarai SC U20
1 : 1
Interporto U20
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmas U20 4 3 0 1 14:4 9
2 Araguaia (TO) U20 4 3 0 1 14:6 9
3 Gurupi U20 4 2 0 2 8:9 6
4 Uniao de Palmas U20 4 2 0 2 6:9 6
5 Alvorada U20 4 0 0 4 2:16 0
Promotion - Tocantinense U20 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Batalhao U20 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
2 Capital FC U20 4 2 1 1 17:7 7
3 Interporto U20 4 2 1 1 10:7 7
4 Taquarussu U20 4 2 0 2 10:9 6
5 Central Tocantinense U20 4 0 0 4 2:22 0
Promotion - Tocantinense U20 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araguaina U20 4 4 0 0 10:2 12
2 SD Sparta U20 4 2 1 1 10:6 7
3 Guarai SC U20 4 1 1 2 7:6 4
4 Tocantins U20 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
5 Araguacema U20 3 0 0 3 0:12 0
Promotion - Tocantinense U20 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis U20 4 3 0 1 8:2 9
2 Uniao Carmolandense U20 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
3 Bela Vista U20 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
4 Paraiso EC U20 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
5 Arsenal EC U20 4 0 1 3 2:12 1
Promotion - Tocantinense U20 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)