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Tocantins vs Colinas

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2012
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2012 game between Tocantins and Colinas finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colinas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tocantins
20%
Draws
40%
Colinas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Tocantins carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Tocantins taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Tocantins Clean Sheet 20%
Colinas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocantins Colinas
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 8 3
Draws 7 8
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 0.75 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.31 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 3.10 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2017 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Colinas
1:1
Mar 11, 2017 Tocantinense
Colinas vs Tocantins
1:3
Apr 18, 2014 Tocantinense
Colinas vs Tocantins
2:2
Mar 1, 2014 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Colinas
0:0
Apr 23, 2013 Tocantinense
Colinas vs Tocantins
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantins 85 / 100
Colinas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocantins Colinas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tocantins Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Colinas conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Colinas has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tocantins's goal record stands at 44% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tocantins VS Colinas
1 Goals Scored 0.2
2 Goals Conceded 5.2
88% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 80%
25% Over 3.5 80%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocantins

(Home)
01 Nov
Guarai SC
3 : 0
Tocantins
25 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
11 Oct
Central Tocantinense
3 : 0
Tocantins
04 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Paraiso EC
15 Mar
Tocantins
1 : 1
Gurupi
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Colinas

(Away)
02 Nov
Bela Vista-TO
8 : 0
Colinas
26 Oct
Colinas
0 : 5
Guarai SC
19 Oct
Araguacema
7 : 1
Colinas
12 Oct
SD Sparta
6 : 0
Colinas
15 Apr
Tocantins
1 : 1
Colinas
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