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Tocantins vs Kabure EC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2009
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2009 game between Tocantins and Kabure EC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tocantins
6%
Draws
90%
Kabure EC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kabure EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tocantins come out ahead of Kabure EC on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Kabure EC taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Tocantins Clean Sheet 14%
Kabure EC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocantins Kabure EC
Matches Played 38 31
Wins 10 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 2.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2009 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Kabure EC
1:1
Mar 7, 2009 Tocantinense
Kabure EC vs Tocantins
0:0
May 18, 2008 Tocantinense
Kabure EC vs Tocantins
1:3
May 11, 2008 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Kabure EC
1:1
Apr 6, 2008 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Kabure EC
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantins 10 / 100
Kabure EC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocantins Kabure EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kabure EC has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Tocantins scored in 47% of their last 38 outings.

Solid form: Tocantins remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tocantins VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocantins

(Home)
01 Nov
Guarai SC
3 : 0
Tocantins
25 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
11 Oct
Central Tocantinense
3 : 0
Tocantins
04 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Paraiso EC
15 Mar
Tocantins
1 : 1
Gurupi
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Kabure EC

(Away)
16 May
Kabure EC
0 : 0
Araguaina
03 May
Kabure EC
2 : 2
Tocantinopolis
01 May
Kabure EC
3 : 0
Ipiranga TO
25 Apr
Tubarao
4 : 1
Kabure EC
22 Apr
Tocantins
1 : 1
Kabure EC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Araguaina18114336:1337
2Palmas18105334:1735
3Paraiso EC1886434:1730
4Gurupi1793531:1830
5Tubarao1885533:1929
6Tocantinopolis1885528:3029
7Juventude TO1883729:2227
8Tocantins1846822:3818
9Kabure EC17251019:3811
10Ipiranga TO1800180:540
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2009 (Quarter-finals Round)