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Tocantins vs Nova Conquista

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2022
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2022 game between Tocantins and Nova Conquista finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nova Conquista.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Tocantins
15%
Draws
64%
Nova Conquista
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nova Conquista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Nova Conquista haven't matched Tocantins's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Nova Conquista taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Tocantins Clean Sheet 14%
Nova Conquista Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocantins Nova Conquista
Matches Played 35 23
Wins 7 5
Draws 3 9
Losses 25 9
Goals Scored 0.69 1.09
Goals Conceded 2.71 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2022 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Nova Conquista
0:2
Mar 13, 2021 Tocantinense
Nova Conquista vs Tocantins
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantins 15 / 100
Nova Conquista 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocantins Nova Conquista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nova Conquista Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nova Conquista has conceded goals in 74% of their last 23 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Nova Conquista's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Tocantins's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tocantins VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocantins

(Home)
01 Nov
Guarai SC
3 : 0
Tocantins
25 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
11 Oct
Central Tocantinense
3 : 0
Tocantins
04 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Paraiso EC
15 Mar
Tocantins
1 : 1
Gurupi
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Nova Conquista

(Away)
12 Mar
Araguacema
3 : 1
Nova Conquista
06 Mar
Nova Conquista
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
02 Mar
Nova Conquista
0 : 1
Capital FC
26 Feb
Tocantins
0 : 2
Nova Conquista
19 Feb
Interporto
3 : 0
Nova Conquista
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 9 7 1 1 28:8 22
2 Capital FC 9 6 2 1 16:6 20
3 Interporto 9 5 4 0 16:5 19
4 Uniao Carmolandense 9 5 3 1 11:8 18
5 Bela Vista-TO 9 3 3 3 12:10 12
6 Palmas 9 2 3 4 16:11 9
7 Nova Conquista 9 2 3 4 11:14 9
8 Araguacema 9 2 2 5 12:14 8
9 Gurupi 9 1 2 6 8:17 5
10 Tocantins 9 0 1 8 4:41 1
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2022 (Play Offs)