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Tocantins vs Paraiso EC

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Campeonato Tocantinense 2015
Tocantins Logo

Tocantins

2 - 2
FT
Paraiso EC Logo

Paraiso EC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2015 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Tocantins
30%
Draws
47%
Paraiso EC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paraiso EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tocantins lately — more wins on the board than Paraiso EC.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Tocantins Clean Sheet 12%
Paraiso EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocantins Paraiso EC
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 7 4
Draws 4 7
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 0.64 0.55
Goals Conceded 2.61 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Tocantins vs Paraiso EC
0:3
Jun 15, 2016 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Paraiso EC
1:1
Jun 11, 2016 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Tocantins
0:0
May 10, 2016 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Tocantins
1:2
Apr 17, 2016 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Paraiso EC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantins 30 / 100
Paraiso EC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocantins Paraiso EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraiso EC let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Difficult form: Paraiso EC registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tocantins's goal record stands at 39% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tocantins VS Paraiso EC
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocantins

(Home)
01 Nov
Guarai SC
3 : 0
Tocantins
25 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
11 Oct
Central Tocantinense
3 : 0
Tocantins
04 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Paraiso EC
15 Mar
Tocantins
1 : 1
Gurupi
Page 1 of 7

Paraiso EC

(Away)
12 Sept
Paraiso EC
0 : 3
Batalhao
05 Sept
Sao Jose (TO)
6 : 0
Paraiso EC
15 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Alvorada
08 Nov
Alvorada
2 : 0
Paraiso EC
02 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Central Tocantinense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 14 7 5 2 19:12 26
2 Interporto 14 6 5 3 25:23 23
3 Palmas 14 7 1 6 23:17 22
4 Gurupi 14 6 3 5 19:15 21
5 Paraiso EC 14 5 5 4 19:16 20
6 Araguaina 14 5 3 6 18:21 18
7 Tocantins 14 4 2 8 23:33 14
8 Guarai SC 14 3 2 9 20:29 11
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2015 (Play Offs)