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Tocantins vs SD Sparta

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Campeonato Tocantinense 2017
Tocantins Logo

Tocantins

0 - 1
FT
SD Sparta Logo

SD Sparta

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2017 game between Tocantins and SD Sparta finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SD Sparta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Tocantins
35%
Draws
56%
SD Sparta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: SD Sparta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • SD Sparta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • SD Sparta are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Tocantins Clean Sheet 10%
SD Sparta Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tocantins SD Sparta
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 8 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.76 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2017 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs SD Sparta
0:1
Mar 25, 2017 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Tocantins
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantins 10 / 100
SD Sparta 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tocantins SD Sparta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Sparta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Sparta has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Tocantins's goal record stands at 44% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Recent resilience: Tocantins stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tocantins VS SD Sparta
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocantins

(Home)
01 Nov
Guarai SC
3 : 0
Tocantins
25 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
11 Oct
Central Tocantinense
3 : 0
Tocantins
04 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Paraiso EC
15 Mar
Tocantins
1 : 1
Gurupi
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SD Sparta

(Away)
04 Dec
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 1
SD Sparta
30 Nov
SD Sparta
0 : 1
Bela Vista-TO
23 Nov
SD Sparta
1 : 1
Araguaia (TO)
16 Nov
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 1
SD Sparta
09 Nov
Araguacema
1 : 1
SD Sparta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Interporto 6 3 2 1 7:3 11
2 Gurupi 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
3 Paraiso EC 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
4 Capital FC 6 0 2 4 7:12 2
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Sparta 6 4 2 0 13:4 14
2 Tocantinopolis 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Tocantins 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
4 Colinas 6 0 1 5 4:15 1
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2017 (Play Offs)