Sport Picks

Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2017

SD Sparta

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tocantins play SD Sparta in the Campeonato Tocantinense 2017. SD Sparta are favorites here. Recently, Tocantins averaged 0.73 goals scored and 2.43 conceded. SD Sparta averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Tocantins won 0, SD Sparta won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 2, 2017 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.50 for Tocantins and 1.88 for SD Sparta. This points to a SD Sparta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%

Tocantins

19%

Draws

61%

SD Sparta

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: SD Sparta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence

Tocantins picked up more points recently compared to SD Sparta.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.50 vs 1.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%

Tocantins Clean Sheet 10%

SD Sparta Clean Sheet 23%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tocantins	SD Sparta
Matches Played	37	33
Wins	8	14
Draws	7	7
Losses	22	12
Goals Scored	0.73	1.36
Goals Conceded	2.43	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2017 Tocantinense

Tocantins vs SD Sparta

Possession: 44% - 46% Cards: 2 - 4

0:1

Mar 25, 2017 Tocantinense

SD Sparta vs Tocantins

Possession: 45% - 52% Cards: 2 - 2

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocantins 20 / 100

SD Sparta 60 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tocantins SD Sparta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Sparta Win (2)

Secondary Pick SD Sparta & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +66.6%

8.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tocantins attacking → ← attacking SD Sparta

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tocantins scored in 43% of their last 37 games.

SD Sparta let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Tocantins went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

SD Sparta lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 49

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Interporto	6	3	2	1	7:3	11
2	Gurupi	6	3	1	2	7:7	10
3	Paraiso EC	6	2	3	1	5:4	9
4	Capital FC	6	0	2	4	7:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SD Sparta	6	4	2	0	13:4	14
2	Tocantinopolis	6	3	2	1	10:7	11
3	Tocantins	6	2	1	3	7:8	7
4	Colinas	6	0	1	5	4:15	1