Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2017/2018 Complexo Desportivo da Tocha, Tocha

Tocha

1 - 2

Esmoriz

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Esmoriz in this Taça de Portugal 2017/2018 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Tocha

15%

Draws

57%

Esmoriz

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Esmoriz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence

Esmoriz have won more games recently than Tocha.
Model gives Esmoriz a 57% chance of winning this.
Esmoriz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Esmoriz, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Tocha Clean Sheet 13%

Esmoriz Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tocha	Esmoriz
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	3	9
Draws	9	11
Losses	18	10
Goals Scored	0.83	1.07
Goals Conceded	1.83	1.27
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2017 Taça de Portugal

Tocha vs Esmoriz

1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tocha 22 / 100

Esmoriz 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tocha Esmoriz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esmoriz Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esmoriz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Esmoriz registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tocha scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Tocha VS Esmoriz

1 Goals Scored 1

2.38 Goals Conceded 1

88% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocha

(Home)

21 Sept

Tocha

1 : 4

Penafiel

23 Sept

Tocha

2 : 4

Rebordosa

10 Sept

Lusitano FCV

0 : 2

Tocha

27 Sept

Anca

3 : 1

Tocha

03 Sept

Tocha

1 : 2

Esmoriz

Page 1 of 6

Esmoriz

(Away)

24 Sept

Esmoriz

0 : 1

Vilaverdense FC

03 Sept

Tocha

1 : 2

Esmoriz

30 Apr

SC Pombal

1 : 0

Esmoriz

23 Apr

Esmoriz

0 : 1

Boavista

17 Apr

Anadia

0 : 1

Esmoriz

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Moreirense -

TBD -

GD Resende 1

Lamego 0

Uniao Lamas 2

Canelas 2010 3

Operario 2

Charneca Caparica 0

Recreativo Canaviais 1

Guadalupe 4

Pedras Salgadas 2

CDC Montalegre 0

Machico 0

FC Felgueiras 4

Chaves -

TBD -

Electrico FC 3

Mosteirense 0

Macao 0

Fatima 4

BSAD -

TBD -

Gondomar 3

Regua 1

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

TBD -

Aguia Vimioso 1

Desportivo Moncao 0

TBD -

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira -

Academico Viseu -

TBD -

Fornos de Algodres 1

Lusitano FCV 4

TBD -

Feirense -

Portimonense -

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

TBD -

Ferreiras 2

Moura AC 5

Lusitano GC 3

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1

GD Coruchense 2

Pero Pinheiro 5

TBD -

FC Porto -

Cova De Piedade -

TBD -

Atletico Arcos 3

Minas de Argozelo 5

Pedras Rubras 3

Camacha 1

Agueda 0

Anadia 1

Amarante FC 1

AD Fafe 0

TBD -

Varzim -

Almodovar 5

CDR Quarteirense 2

CD Rabo Peixe 0

Sporting Ideal 3

AD Oliveirense 5

Sendim 0

Vilafranquense 1

Mafra 2

Mortagua FC 5

Figueirense 1

GS Loures 1

Torreense 2

GD Uniao Torcatense 2

Esposende 1

Oriental 1

Lusitano VRSA 2

TBD -

Maritimo -

Vilaverdense FC 2

GD Braganca 0

Tocha 1

Esmoriz 2

TBD -

Boavista -

Sintrense 2

FC Crato 1

Aroes 0

Trofense 1

Covilha -

TBD -

Mondinense 0

Vizela 3

Famalicao -

TBD -

Rio Tinto 0

Coimbroes 1

SC Salgueiros 3

Cinfaes 2

FC Flamengos 0

Alta Lisboa 4

Oleiros 1

Alcanenense 0

Paredes 0

Sousense 2

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Rio Ave -

TBD -

FC Crato -

TBD -

SC Sabugal 2

Sanjoanense 3

Sao Martinho 2

SC Vila Real 1

Riachense 0

UC Idanhense 2

TBD -

Braga -

Vitoria Setubal -

TBD -

Leiria e Marrazes -

TBD -

Pinhalnovense -

Olhanense 3

Almancilense 1

TBD -

Lamego -

TBD -

Benfica -

U. Madeira -

TBD -

Sertanense -

Marinhense 2

Sertanense 0

TBD -

Oriental -

Gafanha 1

Nogueirense 0

TBD -

SC Lourinhanense -

Maria de Fonte 2

SC Mirandela 1

Camara de Lobos 0

Freamunde 2

Leiria 3

GD Sourense 0

Leiria e Marrazes 1

SB Castelo Branco 5

Moncarapachense 1

Armacenenses 0

Alianca de Gandra 0

SC Espinho 1

SC Vila Real -

TBD -

Oliveirense -

TBD -

Aves -

Caldas SC 2

SC Lourinhanense 0

SC Lusitania 0

Montijo 3

Aguias do Moradal 2

Alcains 1

Ferreira de Aves 0

FC Cesarense 1

GD Coruchense -

TBD -

Mondinense -

Sacavenense 2

1º Dezembro 0

TBD -

Arouca -

Nacional -

TBD -

SC Pombal 0

Condeixa 3

Real SC -

TBD -

Cerveira 1

Merelinense 3

Pacos Ferreira -

TBD -

SC Mirandela -

TBD -

Academica -

SC Praiense 4

Vale Formoso 1

Castrense 1

Louletano 2

GD Braganca -

TBD -

Alcains -

Casa Pia 2

Pinhalnovense 0

TBD -

Recreativo Canaviais -

Penafiel -

TBD -

Vilafranquense -

Leixoes -

TBD -

GD Sourense -

TBD -

Tondela -

Estoril -

TBD -

Amora 3

Vitoria FC Pico 0

Estrela Vendas Novas 1

SC Farense 7

1/64-finals

Moreirense -

TBD -

GD Resende 0

Canelas 2010 3

Operario 3

Guadalupe 2

Pedras Salgadas 1

FC Felgueiras 2

Chaves -

TBD -

Electrico FC 2

Fatima 4

BSAD -

TBD -

Gondomar 0

Santa Clara 1

Vitoria Guimaraes -

TBD -

Aguia Vimioso 2

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 3

Academico Viseu 1

Lusitano FCV 0

TBD -

Feirense -

Portimonense -

TBD -

Gil Vicente 0

Moura AC 1

Lusitano GC 4

Pero Pinheiro 1

TBD -

FC Porto -

Cova De Piedade 4

Minas de Argozelo 0

Pedras Rubras 0

Anadia 4

Amarante FC 1

Varzim 0

Almodovar 0

Sporting Ideal 1

AD Oliveirense 2

Mafra 1

Mortagua FC 0

Torreense 2

GD Uniao Torcatense 2

Lusitano VRSA 0

TBD -

Maritimo -

Vilaverdense FC 1

Esmoriz 0

TBD -

Boavista -

Sintrense 1

Trofense 0

Covilha 1

Vizela 2

Famalicao 3

Coimbroes 1

SC Salgueiros 2

Alta Lisboa 3

Oleiros 3

Sousense 0

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Rio Ave -

TBD -

FC Crato 0

Sanjoanense 3

Sao Martinho 4

UC Idanhense 0

TBD -

Braga -

Vitoria Setubal -

TBD -

Leiria e Marrazes 0

Pinhalnovense 4

Olhanense 4

Lamego 1

TBD -

Benfica -

U. Madeira 2

Sertanense 0

Marinhense 0

Oriental 1

Gafanha 3

SC Lourinhanense 2

Maria de Fonte 2

Freamunde 4

Leiria 2

SB Castelo Branco 0

Moncarapachense 0

SC Espinho 1

SC Vila Real 1

Oliveirense 0

TBD -

Aves -

Caldas SC 1

Montijo 0

Aguias do Moradal 2

FC Cesarense 3

GD Coruchense 5

Mondinense 2

Sacavenense 0

Arouca 1

Nacional 3

Condeixa 1

Real SC 1

Merelinense 3

Pacos Ferreira -

TBD -

SC Mirandela 1

Academica 2

SC Praiense 2

Louletano 0

GD Braganca 1

Alcains 2

Casa Pia 5

Recreativo Canaviais 0

Penafiel 0

Vilafranquense 1

Leixoes 2

GD Sourense 0

TBD -

Tondela -

Estoril -

TBD -

Amora 2

SC Farense 3

1/32-finals

Moreirense 3

Canelas 2010 1

Operario 2

FC Felgueiras 4

Chaves 3

Fatima 0

BSAD 1

Santa Clara 2

Vitoria Guimaraes 6

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1

Academico Viseu 0

Feirense 1

Portimonense 1

Moura AC 0

Lusitano GC 0

FC Porto 6

Cova De Piedade 2

Anadia 1

Amarante FC 1

Sporting Ideal 2

AD Oliveirense 1

Torreense 0

GD Uniao Torcatense 0

Maritimo 1

Vilaverdense FC 1

Boavista 0

Sintrense 1

Vizela 3

Famalicao 2

Alta Lisboa 0

Oleiros 2

Sporting CP 4

Rio Ave 4

Sanjoanense 0

Sao Martinho 2

Braga 3

Vitoria Setubal 2

Pinhalnovense 1

Olhanense 0

Benfica 1

U. Madeira 3

Oriental 2

Gafanha 0

Freamunde 1

Leiria 2

SC Espinho 0

SC Vila Real 0

Aves 1

Caldas SC 2

FC Cesarense 1

GD Coruchense 0

Arouca 3

Nacional 4

Merelinense 2

Pacos Ferreira 1

Academica 2

SC Praiense 4

Alcains 1

Casa Pia 1

Vilafranquense 2

Leixoes 3

Tondela 2

Estoril 0

SC Farense 1

1/16-finals

Moreirense 5

FC Felgueiras 2

Chaves 0

Santa Clara 2

Vitoria Guimaraes 2

Feirense 1

Portimonense 2

FC Porto 3

Cova De Piedade 4

Sporting Ideal 1

AD Oliveirense 2

Maritimo 3

Vilaverdense FC 3

Vizela 2

Famalicao 0

Sporting CP 2

Rio Ave 1

Braga 0

Vitoria Setubal 0

Benfica 2

U. Madeira 4

Freamunde 2

Leiria 0

Aves 3

Caldas SC 2

Arouca 1

Nacional 0

Academica 1

SC Praiense 3

Vilafranquense 2

Leixoes 1

SC Farense 2

1/8-finals

Moreirense 3

Santa Clara 2

Vitoria Guimaraes 0

FC Porto 4

Cova De Piedade 1

Maritimo 0

Vilaverdense FC 0

Sporting CP 4

Rio Ave 3

Benfica 2

U. Madeira 1

Aves 5

Caldas SC 2

Academica 1

SC Praiense 0

SC Farense 1

Quarter-finals

Moreirense 1

FC Porto 2

Cova De Piedade 1

Sporting CP 2

Rio Ave 4

Aves 5

Caldas SC 3

SC Farense 2

Semi-finals

FC Porto 1

Sporting CP 2

Aves 3

Caldas SC 1

Final

Sporting CP 1

Aves 2

Tocha vs Esmoriz

Portugal

Tocha

Esmoriz

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Tocha

Esmoriz

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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