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Tochigi City vs SC Sagamihara

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League City Football Station
Tochigi City Logo

Tochigi City

Sat, Apr 4, 2026
1 - 0
05:00 AM
SC Sagamihara Logo

SC Sagamihara

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Nakayama R.
Penalty Missed
49'
Sugimoto R.
66'
Takeuchi T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tochigi City in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tochigi City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Tochigi City
11%
Draws
9%
SC Sagamihara
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Tochigi City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • SC Sagamihara average 1.88 goals a game right now, well clear of Tochigi City's 1.25.
  • Model gives Tochigi City a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Tochigi City have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Tochigi City Clean Sheet 13%
SC Sagamihara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tochigi City SC Sagamihara
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 15
Draws 2 2
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 J2/J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Tochigi City
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 J2/J3 League
Tochigi City vs SC Sagamihara
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Tochigi City
0:5
Feb 15, 2025 J3 League
Tochigi City vs SC Sagamihara
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tochigi City 75 / 100
SC Sagamihara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tochigi City SC Sagamihara

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tochigi City scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

SC Sagamihara let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Tochigi City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tochigi City VS SC Sagamihara
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai18160237:1543
2Blaublitz18110723:1635
3Shonan Bellmare18110728:2031
4Yokohama FC18100836:2829
5SC Sagamihara1890933:3628
6Thespakusatsu Gunma18701127:3923
7Montedio Yamagata18801022:2522
8Tochigi City18701122:3521
9Vanraure17501216:2318
10Tochigi SC17501224:3117
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kofu17110620:1233
2Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo18110728:2231
3Iwaki18110726:2031
4Omiya Ardija18100839:2930
5Fujieda MYFC1890924:2330
6Gifu1790823:2527
7Matsumoto Yamaga18801033:2526
8Iwata1890920:2525
9Fukushima United18601230:4318
10Nagano Parceiro18501317:3616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Toyama18130540:2638
2Albirex Niigata18120624:1935
3Tokushima18110738:2332
4Kochi United18100825:2330
5Ehime1890926:2028
6Kanazawa18100820:2327
7Nara Club18701127:3621
8FC Osaka18601218:2320
9Imabari18601215:2120
10Kamatamare Sanuki18601215:3419
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tegevajaro Miyazaki18150335:1347
2Kagoshima United18120627:1633
3Sagan Tosu18100826:1832
4Renofa Yamaguchi18100827:2429
5Kumamoto1890921:2127
6Gainare Tottori18100824:2527
7Oita Trinita18701119:2022
8Reilac Shiga18701116:2921
9Ryukyu18601217:2817
10Giravanz Kitakyushu18401417:3515