Sport Picks
Tochigi City vs Vanraure - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J2 League City Football Station, Tochigi 
Match Events
10'
10'
Teruyama H.
30'
30'
Yoshida A.
Assist: Koike Y.
46'
46'
Sub
Otoizumi S. In: Nagata K.
Out: Otoizumi S.
AI Match Summary
Tochigi City in this J2 League matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tochigi City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vanraure
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Vanraure haven't matched Tochigi City's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Tochigi City here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Tochigi City Clean Sheet 25%
Vanraure Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tochigi City | Vanraure |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 0.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2026 J.League Cup
Vanraure vs Tochigi City
0:2
Aug 15, 2026 J2 League
Tochigi City vs Vanraure
5:0
Apr 12, 2026 J2/J3 League
Tochigi City vs Vanraure
2:4
Mar 15, 2026 J2/J3 League
Vanraure vs Tochigi City
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 J3 League
Tochigi City vs Vanraure
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tochigi City Compare
Top Goalscorer Teruyama H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Yoshida A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Vanraure Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tochigi City 33 / 100
Vanraure 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tochigi City Vanraure
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vanraure Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tochigi City's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Vanraure has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Vanraure registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tochigi City VS Vanraure
1.75 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Tochigi City
(Home) 03 Oct
Tochigi City
1 : 2 Imabari
29 Sept
Tochigi City
0 : 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
26 Sept
Tokushima
3 : 0 Tochigi City
23 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1 Tochigi City
20 Sept
Tochigi City
1 : 3 Vegalta Sendai
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Tochigi City
1 : 2 Imabari
29 Sept
Tochigi City
0 : 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
20 Sept
Tochigi City
1 : 3 Vegalta Sendai
29 Aug
Tochigi City
1 : 3 Iwata
15 Aug
Tochigi City
5 : 0 Vanraure
Page 1 of 3
Vanraure
(Away) 04 Oct
Vanraure
0 : 2 Yokohama FC
26 Sept
Iwata
1 : 2 Vanraure
18 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 3 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
12 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 1 Shonan Bellmare
05 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
0 : 0 Vanraure
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Iwata
1 : 2 Vanraure
05 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
0 : 0 Vanraure
26 Aug
Omiya Ardija
2 : 0 Vanraure
15 Aug
Tochigi City
5 : 0 Vanraure
16 Jul
Kawasaki Frontale
0 : 0 Vanraure
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13:13 | 19 |
| 3 | Toyama | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 17:8 | 17 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:11 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 16 |
| 7 | Fujieda MYFC | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Blaublitz | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Tokushima | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Montedio Yamagata | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 11 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 12 | Oita Trinita | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:7 | 11 |
| 13 | Tochigi City | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:15 | 10 |
| 14 | Iwata | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | 10 |
| 15 | Vanraure | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5:14 | 10 |
| 16 | Iwaki | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 17 | Sagan Tosu | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:12 | 8 |
| 18 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12:18 | 8 |
| 19 | Imabari | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | 7 |
| 20 | Kofu | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7:17 | 7 |
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)
