Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
TOGB in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored TOGB.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to TOGB lately — more wins on the board than ASWH.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on TOGB taking it.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
TOGB Clean Sheet 15%
ASWH Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | TOGB | ASWH |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 2.74 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.10 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 31, 2026 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs ASWH
4:1
Sep 6, 2025 Derde Divisie
ASWH vs TOGB
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 Derde Divisie
ASWH vs TOGB
4:2
Oct 5, 2024 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs ASWH
4:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
TOGB 48 / 100
ASWH 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
TOGB ASWH
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TOGB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
TOGB's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Defensive concern: ASWH conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.
Difficult form: ASWH registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
TOGB VS ASWH
1.63 Goals Scored 1.29
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.57
88% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 71%
Recent Form & Match History
TOGB
(Home) 30 Aug
RKSV UDI 19
2 : 1 TOGB
22 Aug
TOGB
1 : 3 SV Poortugaal
16 Aug
UNA
1 : 1 TOGB
08 Aug
Lisse
4 : 0 TOGB
11 Jul
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 0 TOGB
Page 1 of 7
22 Aug
TOGB
1 : 3 SV Poortugaal
16 May
TOGB
5 : 1 Groene Ster
25 Apr
TOGB
2 : 3 SVV Scheveningen
12 Apr
TOGB
2 : 1 UNA
21 Mar
TOGB
1 : 1 GOES
Page 1 of 3
ASWH
(Away) 23 May
Groene Ster
3 : 1 ASWH
16 May
ASWH
1 : 6 VV Zwaluwen
09 May
SVV Scheveningen
2 : 2 ASWH
25 Apr
ASWH
2 : 3 Roosendaal
18 Apr
UNA
2 : 0 ASWH
Page 1 of 7
23 May
Groene Ster
3 : 1 ASWH
09 May
SVV Scheveningen
2 : 2 ASWH
18 Apr
UNA
2 : 0 ASWH
28 Mar
GOES
0 : 1 ASWH
14 Mar
Meerssen
2 : 2 ASWH
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
