Sport Picks

Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2024/2025

FC 's-Gravenzande

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

TOGB play FC 's-Gravenzande in the Derde Divisie 2024/2025. TOGB are favorites here. Recently, TOGB averaged 1.91 goals scored and 1.78 conceded. FC 's-Gravenzande averaged 1.43 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, TOGB won 1, FC 's-Gravenzande won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 17, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for TOGB and 1.00 for FC 's-Gravenzande. This points to a TOGB double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

TOGB

25%

Draws

15%

FC 's-Gravenzande

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: TOGB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

TOGB picked up more points recently compared to FC 's-Gravenzande.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 69%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70%

TOGB Clean Sheet 23%

FC 's-Gravenzande Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	TOGB	FC 's-Gravenzande
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	16	7
Draws	6	7
Losses	10	16
Goals Scored	1.91	1.43
Goals Conceded	1.78	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 Derde Divisie

TOGB vs FC 's-Gravenzande

Possession: 45% - 55% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Dec 7, 2024 Derde Divisie

FC 's-Gravenzande vs TOGB

Possession: 50% - 46% Cards: 1 - 4

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TOGB Compare

Top Goalscorer de Vries E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader de Winter Y.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

FC 's-Gravenzande Compare

Top Goalscorer van Ooijen S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TOGB 59 / 100

FC 's-Gravenzande 16 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

TOGB FC 's-Gravenzande

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOGB Win (1)

Secondary Pick TOGB & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.2%

1.92

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.7%

1.59

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

TOGB attacking → ← attacking FC 's-Gravenzande

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TOGB scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

FC 's-Gravenzande let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

TOGB went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

FC 's-Gravenzande lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 28

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	IJsselmeervogels	34	26	4	4	98:35	82
2	Harkemase Boys	34	21	7	6	74:46	70
3	Sportlust	34	20	7	7	78:37	67
4	DVS '33 Ermelo	34	19	8	7	78:52	65
5	Sparta Nijkerk	34	16	10	8	68:50	58
6	USV Hercules	34	16	6	12	65:56	54
7	VV DOVO	34	15	7	12	43:39	52
8	Genemuiden	34	13	9	12	52:44	48
9	Urk	34	15	2	17	56:67	47
10	Eemdijk	34	11	10	13	64:66	43
11	TEC	34	11	9	14	46:56	42
12	Rohda Raalte	34	11	7	16	63:68	40
13	HSC '21	34	12	4	18	50:66	40
14	Huizen	34	10	6	18	44:62	36
15	Excelsior 31	34	9	9	16	46:71	36
16	Ajax (Am)	34	9	8	17	48:64	35
17	DEM	34	8	6	20	43:85	30
18	HBC	34	1	7	26	40:92	10

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	HSV Hoek	34	20	10	4	77:33	70
2	Kozakken Boys	34	19	7	8	72:29	64
3	Blauw Geel	34	19	7	8	73:45	64
4	VV Kloetinge	34	18	7	9	66:42	61
5	Gemert	34	17	7	10	57:50	58
6	Lisse	34	15	9	10	55:41	54
7	UNA	34	15	8	11	51:48	53
8	VVSB	34	15	6	13	61:61	51
9	SteDoCo	34	13	9	12	57:46	48
10	Meerssen	34	13	6	15	44:50	45
11	Rijnvogels	34	13	6	15	63:72	45
12	ASWH	34	12	6	16	59:73	42
13	TOGB	34	11	8	15	55:53	41
14	GOES	34	9	12	13	53:65	39
15	OJC Rosmalen	34	11	6	17	45:58	39
16	FC 's-Gravenzande	34	9	7	18	51:69	34
17	Smitshoek	34	6	7	21	53:94	25
18	HV & CV Quick	34	5	4	25	42:105	19