Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between TOGB and Meerssen finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TOGB.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Meerssen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- TOGB carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- TOGB have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
TOGB Clean Sheet 10%
Meerssen Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | TOGB | Meerssen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.55 | 1.90 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 7, 2026 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs Meerssen
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Derde Divisie
Meerssen vs TOGB
0:1
Feb 9, 2025 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs Meerssen
2:0
Sep 14, 2024 Derde Divisie
Meerssen vs TOGB
0:3
May 12, 2024 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs Meerssen
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
TOGB 34 / 100
Meerssen 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
TOGB Meerssen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Meerssen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: TOGB scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Meerssen has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Solid form: TOGB remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
TOGB VS Meerssen
1.5 Goals Scored 1.8
2 Goals Conceded 1.6
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 60%
50% Over 3.5 20%
Recent Form & Match History
TOGB
(Home) 23 Sept
TOGB
4 : 6 Rohda Raalte
19 Sept
TOGB
0 : 3 VV Noordwijk
12 Sept
Lisse
3 : 2 TOGB
05 Sept
TOGB
3 : 3 Groene Ster
02 Sept
TOGB
3 : 2 Katwijk
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23 Sept
TOGB
4 : 6 Rohda Raalte
19 Sept
TOGB
0 : 3 VV Noordwijk
05 Sept
TOGB
3 : 3 Groene Ster
02 Sept
TOGB
3 : 2 Katwijk
22 Aug
TOGB
1 : 3 SV Poortugaal
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Meerssen
(Away) 07 Jul
Meerssen
2 : 1 Maastricht
23 May
UNA
1 : 2 Meerssen
16 May
Meerssen
1 : 1 Rijnvogels
10 May
GOES
3 : 4 Meerssen
25 Apr
Meerssen
0 : 2 VVSB
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23 May
UNA
1 : 2 Meerssen
10 May
GOES
3 : 4 Meerssen
19 Apr
Gemert
4 : 1 Meerssen
12 Apr
RKSV UDI 19
2 : 3 Meerssen
22 Mar
Blauw Geel
2 : 3 Meerssen
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
