Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade de Kégué, Lomé

Togo

1 - 1

Liberia

Our Tip

Match Events

25'

Djene

65'

Sub

Homawoo J. In: Akueson G.

Out: Homawoo J.

66'

Sub

Agbagno Y. In: Amenyido E.

Out: Agbagno Y.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Africa Cup of Nations 2025 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Togo

30%

Draws

19%

Liberia

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Togo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Togo have won more games recently than Liberia.
Win probability leans Togo's way, sitting at 90%.
Togo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Togo, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 38%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%

Togo Clean Sheet 68%

Liberia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Togo	Liberia
Matches Played	28	24
Wins	7	6
Draws	12	7
Losses	9	11
Goals Scored	1	1
Goals Conceded	1.14	1.58
Expected Goals (xG)	1.06	0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Liberia vs Togo

1:0

Sep 6, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Togo vs Liberia

1:1

Jun 5, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations

Liberia vs Togo

2:2

Jun 14, 2015 Africa Cup of Nations

Togo vs Liberia

2:1

Sep 4, 2005 World Championship

Togo vs Liberia

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Togo Compare

Top Goalscorer Denkey K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.82

Avg xA / game 0.53

Liberia Compare

Top Goalscorer Gibson W.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.4

Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Togo 95 / 100

Liberia 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Togo Liberia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Togo Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liberia has conceded goals in 92% of their last 24 outings.

Solid form: Togo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Togo scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Togo VS Liberia

1.25 Goals Scored 0.38

0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88

38% Over 1.5 38%

25% Over 2.5 13%

25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Togo

(Home)

25 Sept

Togo

1 : 0

Burundi

09 Jun

Togo

5 : 1

Benin

05 Jun

Central Africa

1 : 1

Togo

31 Mar

Niger

0 : 1

Togo

27 Mar

Guinea

2 : 2

Togo

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Liberia

(Away)

25 Sept

Rwanda

3 : 1

Liberia

09 Jun

Liberia

3 : 1

Sierra Leone

06 Jun

Sierra Leone

1 : 0

Liberia

31 Mar

Liberia

2 : 2

Libya

27 Mar

Benin

1 : 0

Liberia

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