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Togo vs Libya

World World

Friendly International 2024 Stade Pere-Jego, Casablanca
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Kraouaa A.
39' Event
Tchakei M.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Togo and Libya finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Togo
35%
Draws
26%
Libya
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Togo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Libya come out ahead of Togo on wins alone.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Togo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Togo Clean Sheet 68%
Libya Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Togo Libya
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 13 11
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.18 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2024 Friendly International
Togo vs Libya
1:1
Oct 8, 2020 Friendly International
Togo vs Libya
0:0
Mar 24, 2017 Friendly International
Libya vs Togo
0:0
Jun 14, 2013 World Championship
Libya vs Togo
2:0
Jun 3, 2012 World Championship
Togo vs Libya
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Togo Compare

Top Goalscorer Tchakei M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Libya Compare

Top Goalscorer Kraouaa A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Togo 77 / 100
Libya 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Togo Libya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Togo has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Togo scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Libya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Togo VS Libya
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Togo

(Home)
09 Jun
Togo
5 : 1
Benin
05 Jun
Central Africa
1 : 1
Togo
31 Mar
Niger
0 : 1
Togo
27 Mar
Guinea
2 : 2
Togo
13 Oct
South Sudan
0 : 0
Togo
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Libya

(Away)
31 Mar
Liberia
2 : 2
Libya
27 Mar
Libya
0 : 0
Niger
25 Nov
Palestine
1 : 0
Libya
15 Nov
Libya
1 : 0
Mauritania
13 Oct
Mauritius
0 : 0
Libya
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