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Toi Seng vs Benfica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Macao Macao

Elite League 2023
Toi Seng Logo

Toi Seng

1 - 4
FT
Benfica Logo

Benfica

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Seng L. C.
43' Event
Pedro J.
62' Event
Cheok K. M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2023 game between Toi Seng and Benfica finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Benfica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Toi Seng
15%
Draws
51%
Benfica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Benfica come out ahead of Toi Seng on wins alone.
  • Model gives Benfica a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Toi Seng Clean Sheet 17%
Benfica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toi Seng Benfica
Matches Played 16 32
Wins 2 14
Draws 1 4
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.06 2.31
Goals Conceded 3.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2023 Elite League
Toi Seng vs Benfica
1:4
Mar 17, 2023 Elite League
Benfica vs Toi Seng
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toi Seng Compare

Top Goalscorer Cheok K. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Benfica Compare

Top Goalscorer Seng L. C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pedro J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toi Seng 10 / 100
Benfica 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toi Seng Benfica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Benfica has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Away concern: Benfica has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Toi Seng scored in 50% of their last 16 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Benfica
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Toi Seng

(Home)
30 Jul
Toi Seng
1 : 6
Monte Carlo
22 Jul
Toi Seng
3 : 3
Sporting Macau
16 Jul
Toi Seng
1 : 6
Cheng Fung
08 Jul
Hang Sai
1 : 4
Toi Seng
25 Jun
Toi Seng
1 : 2
Lun Lok
Page 1 of 4

Benfica

(Away)
25 Jul
Benfica
4 : 5
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Benfica
10 : 0
University of Macau
10 Jul
Benfica
2 : 4
Shao Jiang
04 Jul
Must IPO
3 : 1
Benfica
28 Jun
Benfica
2 : 1
Chiba
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Must IPO 16 15 1 0 73:4 46
2 Benfica 16 13 1 2 57:14 40
3 Monte Carlo 16 12 1 3 64:15 37
4 Cheng Fung 16 10 1 5 45:20 31
5 Lun Lok 16 5 1 10 22:43 16
6 Hang Sai 16 4 1 11 24:75 13
7 Tak Chun Ka I 16 4 1 11 27:58 13
8 Sporting Macau 16 2 2 12 23:63 8
9 Toi Seng 16 2 1 13 17:60 7
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2024/2025 (Qualification)