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Toi Seng vs Lun Lok - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Macao Macao

Elite League 2023
Toi Seng Logo

Toi Seng

1 - 2
FT
Lun Lok Logo

Lun Lok

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Almeida H.
24' Event
Pereira E.
35' Event
Wai Tong H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2023 game between Toi Seng and Lun Lok finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lun Lok.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Toi Seng
15%
Draws
0%
Lun Lok
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toi Seng

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lun Lok come out ahead of Toi Seng on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Toi Seng taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Toi Seng Clean Sheet 20%
Lun Lok Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toi Seng Lun Lok
Matches Played 16 32
Wins 2 6
Draws 1 2
Losses 13 24
Goals Scored 1.06 1.13
Goals Conceded 3.75 4.94
Expected Goals (xG) 2.79 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2023 Elite League
Toi Seng vs Lun Lok
1:2
Apr 2, 2023 Elite League
Lun Lok vs Toi Seng
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toi Seng Compare

Top Goalscorer Wai Tong H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.15
Avg xA / game 1.4

Lun Lok Compare

Top Goalscorer Almeida H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pereira E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toi Seng 85 / 100
Lun Lok 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toi Seng Lun Lok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toi Seng Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lun Lok let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Lun Lok lost 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Toi Seng found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (16 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Lun Lok
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 4.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Toi Seng

(Home)
30 Jul
Toi Seng
1 : 6
Monte Carlo
22 Jul
Toi Seng
3 : 3
Sporting Macau
16 Jul
Toi Seng
1 : 6
Cheng Fung
08 Jul
Hang Sai
1 : 4
Toi Seng
25 Jun
Toi Seng
1 : 2
Lun Lok
Page 1 of 4

Lun Lok

(Away)
27 Jul
Chiba
3 : 0
Lun Lok
19 Jul
Hang Sai
12 : 0
Lun Lok
12 Jul
Lun Lok
1 : 2
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Lun Lok
0 : 10
Gala
21 Jun
Lun Lok
1 : 9
Chiba
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Must IPO 16 15 1 0 73:4 46
2 Benfica 16 13 1 2 57:14 40
3 Monte Carlo 16 12 1 3 64:15 37
4 Cheng Fung 16 10 1 5 45:20 31
5 Lun Lok 16 5 1 10 22:43 16
6 Hang Sai 16 4 1 11 24:75 13
7 Tak Chun Ka I 16 4 1 11 27:58 13
8 Sporting Macau 16 2 2 12 23:63 8
9 Toi Seng 16 2 1 13 17:60 7
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2024/2025 (Qualification)