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Tokai vs Omiya Ardija

Japan Japan

Emperors Cup 2001
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Tokai advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Tokai
30%
Draws
47%
Omiya Ardija
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Omiya Ardija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Omiya Ardija come out ahead of Tokai on wins alone.
  • Omiya Ardija are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Omiya Ardija arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tokai, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Tokai Clean Sheet 15%
Omiya Ardija Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tokai Omiya Ardija
Matches Played 9 29
Wins 3 13
Draws 0 5
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.22 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.56 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2001 Emperors Cup
Tokai vs Omiya Ardija
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tokai 10 / 100
Omiya Ardija 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tokai Omiya Ardija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Omiya Ardija Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Omiya Ardija's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Tokai scored in 56% of their last 9 games.

Tokai has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Omiya Ardija
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tokai

(Home)
19 Sept
Sanyo Elecrtic Tokushima
1 : 0
Tokai
17 Sept
Takada
2 : 0
Tokai
10 Oct
Tokai
1 : 2
Horikoshi Gunma
26 Sept
Tokai
3 : 2
Otsuka
30 Nov
Tokai
0 : 7
Avispa Fukuoka
Page 1 of 2

Omiya Ardija

(Away)
26 Sept
Omiya Ardija
5 : 1
Kofu
19 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 1
Omiya Ardija
12 Sept
Omiya Ardija
0 : 0
Oita Trinita
06 Sept
Blaublitz
0 : 0
Omiya Ardija
02 Sept
Gainare Tottori
3 : 1
Omiya Ardija
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kainan -
TBD -
Kochi 0
Honda FC 1
Vegalta Sendai 4
Primeiro 0
Morioka Zebra 0
Kyoken Kyoto 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
Albirex Niigata 3
Mindhouse 1
Fukui 1
Tochigi SC 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Avispa Fukuoka -
Mito 7
Gifu Kogyo 1
Akita Shogyo 2
Denso 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
Verdy -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shin-nittetsu Oita 3
Nagasaki University 1
Omiya Ardija 0
Tokai 2
Komazawa 3
Ohara 1
Sunlife 0
Kunimi 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Iwata -
Yokohama FC 14
Saitama 0
Yamagata 1
Kumamoto 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Tokyo -
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hosei 1
Honda Lock 0
Kwansei 0
Kawasaki Frontale 5
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hokuriku 2
Douto 1
Osaka Taiiku 0
Kofu 4
Montedio Yamagata 3
Kagoshima 2
Fukuyama City 2
Ehime 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vissel Kobe -
Kyoto 4
Nirasaki 0
Aster Aomori 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
Otsuka 8
Renofa Yamaguchi 0
Hannan 1
Ryutsu Keizai University 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chiba -
Kashima Antlers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shonan Bellmare 7
Muchz 0
Sony Sendai 0
Nara Sangyo 1
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jatco 4
Iwami 0
Fukuoka Univ. 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Sagawa Kyubin SC 4
Juntendo University 3
Kibi 0
Saga Nanyo 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nagoya Grampus -
Oita Trinita 2
Kariyushi 1
Apple Sports 0
Gainare Tottori 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cerezo Osaka -
1/32-finals
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Kainan 0
Honda FC 6
Vegalta Sendai 4
Kyoken Kyoto 1
TBD -
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
Albirex Niigata 2
Tochigi SC 1
TBD -
Avispa Fukuoka -
Mito 1
Denso 0
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
Verdy -
TBD -
Shin-nittetsu Oita 3
Tokai 4
Komazawa 4
Kunimi 1
TBD -
Iwata -
Yokohama FC 5
Kumamoto 0
TBD -
FC Tokyo -
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo -
TBD -
Hosei 0
Kawasaki Frontale 1
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Hokuriku 0
Kofu 1
Montedio Yamagata 1
Ehime 0
TBD -
Vissel Kobe -
Kyoto 3
Thespakusatsu Gunma 0
TBD -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
Otsuka 3
Ryutsu Keizai University 2
TBD -
Chiba -
Kashima Antlers -
TBD -
Shonan Bellmare 0
Nara Sangyo 1
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
Jatco 0
Sagan Tosu 1
Sagawa Kyubin SC 10
Saga Nanyo 0
TBD -
Nagoya Grampus -
Oita Trinita 2
Gainare Tottori 1
TBD -
Cerezo Osaka -
1/16-finals
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
Honda FC 1
Vegalta Sendai 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1
Albirex Niigata 3
Avispa Fukuoka 2
Mito 0
Gamba Osaka 5
Verdy 2
Tokai 0
Komazawa 2
Iwata 3
Yokohama FC 1
FC Tokyo 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 2
Kawasaki Frontale 3
Urawa Reds 2
Kofu 0
Montedio Yamagata 0
Vissel Kobe 1
Kyoto 1
Yokohama F. Marinos 0
Otsuka 0
Chiba 5
Kashima Antlers 6
Nara Sangyo 0
Kashiwa Reysol 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Sagawa Kyubin SC 4
Nagoya Grampus 0
Oita Trinita 2
Cerezo Osaka 3
1/8-finals
Shimizu S-Pulse 4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0
Albirex Niigata 0
Gamba Osaka 1
Verdy 3
Iwata 1
Yokohama FC 1
Kawasaki Frontale 3
Urawa Reds 4
Vissel Kobe 1
Kyoto 0
Chiba 4
Kashima Antlers 6
Sagan Tosu 0
Sagawa Kyubin SC 0
Cerezo Osaka 2
Quarter-finals
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
Gamba Osaka 0
Verdy 0
Kawasaki Frontale 3
Urawa Reds 2
Chiba 1
Kashima Antlers 2
Cerezo Osaka 4
Semi-finals
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
Kawasaki Frontale 1
Urawa Reds 0
Cerezo Osaka 1
Final
Shimizu S-Pulse 3
Cerezo Osaka 2