Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Cayeli SK

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Unluer M.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 game between Tokat Bld Plevnespor and Cayeli SK finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tokat Bld Plevnespor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
30%
Draws
33%
Cayeli SK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tokat Bld Plevnespor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Tokat Bld Plevnespor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Tokat Bld Plevnespor a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Tokat Bld Plevnespor Clean Sheet 68%
Cayeli SK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tokat Bld Plevnespor Cayeli SK
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.17 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Cayeli SK
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Cayeli SK vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tokat Bld Plevnespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Unluer M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Cayeli SK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tokat Bld Plevnespor 68 / 100
Cayeli SK 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tokat Bld Plevnespor Cayeli SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tokat Bld Plevnespor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cayeli SK let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Tokat Bld Plevnespor's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Tokat Bld Plevnespor has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tokat Bld Plevnespor VS Cayeli SK
1.5 Goals Scored 1.33
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.83
88% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tokat Bld Plevnespor

(Home)
27 Sept
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
1 : 3
Galata Spor Kulubu
20 Sept
Beykoz Anadolu
2 : 2
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
16 Sept
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
3 : 0
Kesap
12 Sept
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
1 : 1
Orduspor 1967
06 Sept
Yesil Yalova FK
0 : 3
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
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Cayeli SK

(Away)
18 Apr
Fatsa Bld.
5 : 1
Cayeli SK
12 Apr
Cayeli SK
3 : 2
Hopaspor
05 Apr
Karadeniz Eregli
1 : 0
Cayeli SK
28 Mar
Cayeli SK
0 : 0
Sebat Spor Kulubu
24 Mar
Orduspor 1967
1 : 3
Cayeli SK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sebat Spor Kulubu 30 20 7 3 56:23 67
2 52 Orduspor 30 18 4 8 68:30 58
3 Karadeniz Eregli 30 16 9 5 44:29 57
4 Yozgat 30 17 6 7 58:27 57
5 Fatsa Bld. 30 15 4 11 40:32 49
6 Zonguldak Komurspor 30 13 7 10 48:30 46
7 Pazarspor 30 11 10 9 29:31 43
8 Karabuk Idmanyurdu 30 12 5 13 32:47 41
9 Duzcespor 30 11 7 12 30:36 40
10 Tokat Bld Plevnespor 30 10 6 14 31:38 36
11 Orduspor 1967 30 9 7 14 35:51 34
12 Amasyaspor 30 9 6 15 28:40 33
13 Hopaspor 30 9 5 16 38:50 32
14 Bulancakspor 30 8 5 17 30:60 29
15 Cayeli SK 30 5 9 16 25:46 24
16 Giresunspor 30 4 9 17 21:43 21
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)