Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tokatspor vs Erbaaspor

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Ozcakir C.
45' Event
Ustun B. S.
68' Event
Yukseker A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Erbaaspor advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Tokatspor
15%
Draws
85%
Erbaaspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erbaaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Tokatspor haven't matched Erbaaspor's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Erbaaspor's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Erbaaspor arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Erbaaspor, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Tokatspor Clean Sheet 21%
Erbaaspor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tokatspor Erbaaspor
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0.7 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2020 Turkish Cup
Tokatspor vs Erbaaspor
1:2
Sep 11, 2019 Turkish Cup
Tokatspor vs Erbaaspor
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tokatspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Yukseker A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Erbaaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozcakir C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ustun B. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tokatspor 10 / 100
Erbaaspor 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tokatspor Erbaaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erbaaspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erbaaspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Tokatspor found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: Erbaaspor registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Erbaaspor
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tokatspor

(Home)
01 May
Kahta
4 : 0
Tokatspor
25 Apr
Tokatspor
1 : 5
Ceyhanspor
21 Apr
Fethiyespor
2 : 0
Tokatspor
14 Apr
Tokatspor
0 : 2
Yomraspor
08 Apr
Tepecik
4 : 1
Tokatspor
Page 1 of 6

Erbaaspor

(Away)
03 Oct
Erbaaspor
2 : 4
Aliaga
27 Sept
Adanademirspor
0 : 3
Erbaaspor
20 Sept
Erbaaspor
3 : 2
Sebat Spor Kulubu
13 Sept
Ankaraspor
2 : 1
Erbaaspor
06 Sept
Erbaaspor
4 : 4
Musspor
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Sivasspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Giresunspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tekirdagspor 2
Bayrampasa 1
TBD -
Silivrispor -
Bodrumspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigde Anadolu -
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Adanademirspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Isparta 32 Spor 3
Kemerspor 2003 2
Alanya 1221 2
Karaman FK 0
Afyonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kardemir Karabuk -
Goztepe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Umraniyespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirklarelispor -
Bursaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Karsiyaka -
TBD -
Izmir Coruhlu 1
Manisaspor 0
Altay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1922 Konyaspor -
Antalyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pendikspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirikkale FK 2
Golcukspor 1
TBD -
Duzcespor -
Boluspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hacettepe SK -
Kahramanmarasspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bucaspor 1928 -
TBD -
TBD -
Soma Spor -
Yeni Malatyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kelkit Bld. -
TBD -
TBD -
Hopaspor -
Akhisarspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Etimesgut -
Kayserispor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ofspor -
TBD -
Fatsa Bld. 1
Yomraspor 2
Trabzon FK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Agri 1970 -
TBD -
52 Orduspor 3
Arhavispor 2
Galatasaray -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bandirmaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guzide Gebzespor -
TBD -
Hacettepe 1945 1
Cankaya FK 2
Zonguldak Komurspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kutahyaspor 1
Bursa Yildirimspor 0
TBD -
Darica Genclerbirligi -
Alanyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Adanaspor AS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aksaray Bld. -
TBD -
Malatya 1
Adiyaman FK 0
Sakaryaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
23 Elazig FK 1
Batman Petrolspor 0
TBD -
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) -
Erzurumspor FK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Karakopru -
TBD -
TBD -
Osmaniyespor -
Ankara Demirspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mamak -
F. Karagumruk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nevsehir -
TBD -
Kozanspor 2
Kahta 1
Balikesirspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Erokspor -
TBD -
Arnavutkoy Bl. 2
Cengelkoy SK 0
Konyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manisa FK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gumushanespor -
Altinordu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fethiyespor -
TBD -
TBD -
Nazillispor -
Corum FK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eyupspor -
Gaziantep -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sancaktepe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Serik Spor -
Keciorengucu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tepecik -
TBD -
Alemdag 1
Edirnespor Genclik 0
Ankaragucu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kocaelispor -
Besiktas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Istanbulspor AS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Elazigspor -
Tarsus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 2
Ceyhanspor 1
Iskenderunspor 2
Payasspor 3
Rizespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catalca Spor -
TBD -
Sile Yildizspor 5
Modafenspor 1
Eskisehirspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cizrespor -
TBD -
Mardin 1969 0
Siirt Ozel 3
Kastamonuspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Amedspor -
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vanspor FK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sivas Dort -
Hatayspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sanliurfaspor -
Ergene Velimese -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Karacabey Bld. -
Kasimpasa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Menemenspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
24Erzincanspor -
Ankaraspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pazarspor -
Samsunspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Muglaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Kizilcabolukspor -
Genclerbirligi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirsehir SK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tokatspor 1
Erbaaspor 2
Carsambaspor 0
Yozgatspor 1
Tuzlaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bayburt Ozel Idare -
Inegolspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sultanbeyli -
TBD -
Yalovaspor 2
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 1
Basaksehir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Denizlispor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sariyer -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Turgutlu -
1/128-finals
Sivasspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Giresunspor -
TBD -
Tekirdagspor 2
Silivrispor 1
Bodrumspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigde Anadolu -
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Adanademirspor -
TBD -
Isparta 32 Spor 0
Alanya 1221 1
Afyonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Kardemir Karabuk -
Goztepe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Umraniyespor -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirklarelispor -
Bursaspor -
TBD -
Karsiyaka 3
Izmir Coruhlu 0
Altay -
TBD -
TBD -
1922 Konyaspor -
Antalyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pendikspor -
TBD -
Kirikkale FK 1
Duzcespor 2
Boluspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Hacettepe SK -
Kahramanmarasspor -
TBD -
Bucaspor 1928 0
Soma Spor 1
Yeni Malatyaspor -
TBD -
Kelkit Bld. 0
Hopaspor 1
Akhisarspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Etimesgut -
Kayserispor -
TBD -
Ofspor 0
Yomraspor 1
Trabzon FK -
TBD -
Agri 1970 1
52 Orduspor 2
Galatasaray -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bandirmaspor -
TBD -
Guzide Gebzespor 3
Cankaya FK 0
Zonguldak Komurspor -
TBD -
Kutahyaspor 1
Darica Genclerbirligi 2
Alanyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Adanaspor AS -
TBD -
Aksaray Bld. 3
Malatya 2
Sakaryaspor -
TBD -
23 Elazig FK 1
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 2
Erzurumspor FK -
TBD -
Karakopru 1
Osmaniyespor 0
Ankara Demirspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Mamak -
F. Karagumruk -
TBD -
Nevsehir 1
Kozanspor 0
Balikesirspor -
TBD -
Erokspor 4
Arnavutkoy Bl. 3
Konyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manisa FK -
TBD -
TBD -
Gumushanespor -
Altinordu -
TBD -
Fethiyespor 2
Nazillispor 1
Corum FK -
TBD -
TBD -
Eyupspor -
Gaziantep -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sancaktepe -
TBD -
TBD -
Serik Spor -
Keciorengucu -
TBD -
Tepecik 1
Alemdag 0
Ankaragucu -
TBD -
TBD -
Kocaelispor -
Besiktas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Istanbulspor AS -
TBD -
TBD -
Elazigspor -
Tarsus -
TBD -
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 6
Payasspor 0
Rizespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu -
TBD -
Catalca Spor 0
Sile Yildizspor 1
Eskisehirspor -
TBD -
Cizrespor 2
Siirt Ozel 1
Kastamonuspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Amedspor -
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vanspor FK -
TBD -
TBD -
Sivas Dort -
Hatayspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Sanliurfaspor -
Ergene Velimese -
TBD -
TBD -
Karacabey Bld. -
Kasimpasa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Menemenspor -
TBD -
TBD -
24Erzincanspor -
Ankaraspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Pazarspor -
Samsunspor -
TBD -
Muglaspor 2
Kizilcabolukspor 1
Genclerbirligi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirsehir SK -
TBD -
Erbaaspor 0
Yozgatspor 1
Tuzlaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Bayburt Ozel Idare -
Inegolspor -
TBD -
Sultanbeyli 1
Yalovaspor 0
Basaksehir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Denizlispor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sariyer -
TBD -
TBD -
Turgutlu -
1/64-finals
Sivasspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Giresunspor 2
Tekirdagspor 0
Bodrumspor 2
Nigde Anadolu 3
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Adanademirspor 3
Alanya 1221 1
Afyonspor 2
Kardemir Karabuk 1
Goztepe -
TBD -
Umraniyespor 0
Kirklarelispor 1
Bursaspor 2
Karsiyaka 1
Altay 0
1922 Konyaspor 2
Antalyaspor -
TBD -
Pendikspor 3
Duzcespor 0
Boluspor 2
Hacettepe SK 1
Kahramanmarasspor 2
Soma Spor 0
Yeni Malatyaspor 2
Hopaspor 0
Akhisarspor 0
Etimesgut 1
Kayserispor 5
Yomraspor 0
Trabzon FK 2
52 Orduspor 1
Galatasaray -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bandirmaspor 3
Guzide Gebzespor 1
Zonguldak Komurspor 2
Darica Genclerbirligi 3
Alanyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Adanaspor AS 2
Aksaray Bld. 1
Sakaryaspor 2
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 0
Erzurumspor FK 6
Karakopru 2
Ankara Demirspor 2
Mamak 0
F. Karagumruk 3
Nevsehir 2
Balikesirspor 2
Erokspor 3
Konyaspor -
TBD -
Manisa FK 2
Gumushanespor 0
Altinordu 2
Fethiyespor 1
Corum FK 3
Eyupspor 0
Gaziantep -
TBD -
Sancaktepe 2
Serik Spor 3
Keciorengucu 6
Tepecik 0
Ankaragucu 1
Kocaelispor 2
Besiktas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Istanbulspor AS 3
Elazigspor 2
Tarsus 3
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 1
Rizespor -
TBD -
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 6
Sile Yildizspor 0
Eskisehirspor 3
Cizrespor 2
Kastamonuspor 1
Amedspor 0
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
Vanspor FK 1
Sivas Dort 2
Hatayspor 2
Sanliurfaspor 1
Ergene Velimese 0
Karacabey Bld. 3
Kasimpasa -
TBD -
Menemenspor 1
24Erzincanspor 2
Ankaraspor 3
Pazarspor 1
Samsunspor 1
Muglaspor 3
Genclerbirligi -
TBD -
Kirsehir SK 2
Yozgatspor 1
Tuzlaspor 2
Bayburt Ozel Idare 1
Inegolspor 2
Sultanbeyli 3
Basaksehir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Denizlispor -
TBD -
Sariyer 2
Turgutlu 4
1/32-finals
Sivasspor -
TBD -
Giresunspor 2
Nigde Anadolu 1
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
Adanademirspor 4
Afyonspor 1
Goztepe 2
Kirklarelispor 0
Bursaspor 1
1922 Konyaspor 0
Antalyaspor 2
Pendikspor 0
Boluspor 2
Kahramanmarasspor 1
Yeni Malatyaspor 2
Etimesgut 0
Kayserispor 3
Trabzon FK 4
Galatasaray -
TBD -
Bandirmaspor 0
Darica Genclerbirligi 1
Alanyaspor -
TBD -
Adanaspor AS 3
Sakaryaspor 2
Erzurumspor FK 3
Ankara Demirspor 2
F. Karagumruk 0
Erokspor 3
Konyaspor 7
Manisa FK 0
Altinordu 3
Corum FK 0
Gaziantep 3
Serik Spor 0
Keciorengucu 1
Kocaelispor 2
Besiktas -
TBD -
Istanbulspor AS 0
Tarsus 1
Rizespor 6
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 0
Eskisehirspor 2
Kastamonuspor 0
Fenerbahce 4
Sivas Dort 0
Hatayspor 2
Karacabey Bld. 3
Kasimpasa 3
24Erzincanspor 0
Ankaraspor 1
Muglaspor 2
Genclerbirligi 1
Kirsehir SK 0
Tuzlaspor 5
Sultanbeyli 1
Basaksehir -
TBD -
Denizlispor 1
Turgutlu 2
1/16-finals
Sivasspor 1
Giresunspor 0
Trabzonspor 2
Adanademirspor 3
Goztepe 4
Bursaspor 5
Antalyaspor 1
Boluspor 0
Yeni Malatyaspor 5
Trabzon FK 0
Galatasaray 1
Darica Genclerbirligi 0
Alanyaspor 5
Adanaspor AS 1
Erzurumspor FK 5
Erokspor 1
Konyaspor 3
Altinordu 1
Gaziantep 3
Kocaelispor 2
Besiktas 3
Tarsus 1
Rizespor 3
Eskisehirspor 0
Fenerbahce 1
Karacabey Bld. 0
Kasimpasa 5
Muglaspor 0
Genclerbirligi 0
Tuzlaspor 2
Basaksehir 7
Turgutlu 0
1/8-finals
Sivasspor 2
Adanademirspor 1
Bursaspor 0
Antalyaspor 3
Yeni Malatyaspor 1
Galatasaray 2
Alanyaspor 4
Erzurumspor FK 1
Konyaspor 2
Gaziantep 1
Besiktas 1
Rizespor 0
Fenerbahce 1
Kasimpasa 0
Tuzlaspor 1
Basaksehir 5
Quarter-finals
Sivasspor 0
Antalyaspor 1
Galatasaray 2
Alanyaspor 3
Konyaspor 1
Besiktas 2
Fenerbahce 1
Basaksehir 2
Semi-finals
Antalyaspor 2
Alanyaspor 0
Besiktas 3
Basaksehir 2
Final
Antalyaspor 0
Besiktas 2