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Toktogul vs Neftchi Kochkor-Ata

Kyrgyzstan Kyrgyzstan

Premier Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Toktosunov D.
29'
Yrysbekov I.
29'
Yrysbekov I.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Liga game between Toktogul and Neftchi Kochkor-Ata finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Neftchi Kochkor-Ata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Toktogul
11%
Draws
9%
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Toktogul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Neftchi Kochkor-Ata come out ahead of Toktogul on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Toktogul's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Toktogul Clean Sheet 20%
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toktogul Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
Matches Played 15 30
Wins 4 8
Draws 1 3
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Premier Liga
Toktogul vs Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toktogul Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Neftchi Kochkor-Ata Compare

Top Goalscorer Toktosunov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ergemlidze M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toktogul 76 / 100
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toktogul Neftchi Kochkor-Ata

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neftchi Kochkor-Ata has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Neftchi Kochkor-Ata's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Toktogul scored in 53% of their last 15 games.

Scoring Trends

Toktogul VS Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Muras United15113135:1436
2Alga Bishkek15105031:1335
3Bars15102343:2232
4Ozgon15102327:1432
5Asia Talas15102337:2632
6Alay Osh1574417:1525
7Aldier1565423:2123
8Dordoi Bishkek1553719:2118
9Talant1537515:1616
10Bishkek City1544715:2216
11Asiagoal Bishkek1535717:2614
12Neftchi Kochkor-Ata1542915:2514
13Ilbirs1527615:2613
14Toktogul15411013:2413
15Abdysh-Ata Kant15221112:278
16Kyrgyzaltyn15041112:344