Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tokushima vs Ehime

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Pocarisweat Stadium, Naruto
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Abe R.
27'
Kodama S.
27' Event
Kuroishi T.

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Tokushima and Ehime finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ehime.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Tokushima
20%
Draws
47%
Ehime
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ehime

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Tokushima carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Tokushima a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Tokushima have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Tokushima Clean Sheet 68%
Ehime Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tokushima Ehime
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 13
Draws 3 2
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.79 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 J2/J3 League
Tokushima vs Ehime
0:6
Feb 28, 2026 J2/J3 League
Ehime vs Tokushima
0:1
Aug 2, 2025 J2 League
Tokushima vs Ehime
1:0
May 18, 2025 J2 League
Ehime vs Tokushima
0:2
Aug 3, 2024 J2 League
Ehime vs Tokushima
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tokushima Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Ehime Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuroishi T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maeda R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tokushima 50 / 100
Ehime 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tokushima Ehime

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tokushima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tokushima scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Ehime's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Tokushima stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tokushima VS Ehime
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tokushima

(Home)
29 Aug
Tokushima
1 : 0
Oita Trinita
26 Aug
Tokushima
3 : 0
FC Tokushima
22 Aug
Iwata
2 : 1
Tokushima
16 Aug
Tokushima
0 : 0
Sagan Tosu
08 Aug
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
2 : 0
Tokushima
Page 1 of 6

Ehime

(Away)
30 Aug
Kanazawa
0 : 1
Ehime
26 Aug
V-Varen Nagasaki
3 : 2
Ehime
22 Aug
Matsumoto Yamaga
2 : 2
Ehime
19 Aug
Ehime
2 : 1
International Pacific Univesity
16 Aug
Ehime
4 : 0
Gainare Tottori
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)