Sport Picks
Tokushima vs Fukuyama City
Japan
Emperors Cup 2022 Pocarisweat Stadium, Naruto 
Match Events
11'
11'
Hyon R.
29'
29'
Sawada K.
34'
34'
Sub
Sawada K. In: Fujii A.
Out: Sawada K.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Tokushima advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tokushima
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Tokushima carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Tokushima's way, sitting at 90%.
- Tokushima have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Tokushima, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Tokushima Clean Sheet 16%
Fukuyama City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tokushima | Fukuyama City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 12 |
| Wins | 18 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.58 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 2.08 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 24, 2025 Club Friendly
Tokushima vs Fukuyama City
3:1
Jun 1, 2022 Emperors Cup
Tokushima vs Fukuyama City
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tokushima Compare
Top Goalscorer Hyon R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bakenga M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Fukuyama City Compare
Top Goalscorer Takahashi H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tokushima 84 / 100
Fukuyama City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tokushima Fukuyama City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tokushima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tokushima scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.
Fukuyama City has conceded goals in 83% of their last 12 outings.
Games between these two average 3.50 goals.
Solid form: Tokushima remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Tokushima VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Tokushima
(Home) 26 Sept
Tokushima
3 : 0 Tochigi City
23 Sept
Gamba Osaka
5 : 0 Tokushima
19 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1 Tokushima
12 Sept
Blaublitz
4 : 1 Tokushima
05 Sept
Tokushima
1 : 0 Iwaki
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Tokushima
3 : 0 Tochigi City
05 Sept
Tokushima
1 : 0 Iwaki
29 Aug
Tokushima
1 : 0 Oita Trinita
26 Aug
Tokushima
3 : 0 FC Tokushima
16 Aug
Tokushima
0 : 0 Sagan Tosu
Page 1 of 4
Fukuyama City
(Away) 11 Jun
Albirex Niigata
1 : 0 Fukuyama City
25 May
Fukuyama City
2 : 1 FC Tokushima
24 Feb
Tokushima
3 : 1 Fukuyama City
12 Jun
Avispa Fukuoka
8 : 0 Fukuyama City
01 Jun
Tokushima
2 : 1 Fukuyama City
Page 1 of 3
11 Jun
Albirex Niigata
1 : 0 Fukuyama City
24 Feb
Tokushima
3 : 1 Fukuyama City
12 Jun
Avispa Fukuoka
8 : 0 Fukuyama City
01 Jun
Tokushima
2 : 1 Fukuyama City
22 Feb
Nara Club
2 : 0 Fukuyama City
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Avispa Fukuoka 3
Okinawa 0
Machida Zelvia 1
Iwate Grulla Morioka 3
FC Tokyo 2
Fuji University 0
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Kagoshima United 0
Sagan Tosu 1
Verspah Oita 0
Albirex Niigata 1
Kumamoto 4
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 4
Toin University 3
Kofu 5
International Pacific Univesity 1
Vissel Kobe 3
Toyama 2
Mito 1
Renofa Yamaguchi 2
Kashiwa Reysol 1
Tsukuba Univ. 0
Tokushima 2
Fukuyama City 1
Kashima Antlers 2
Niigata University 1
Ryukyu 1
Omiya Ardija 4
Gamba Osaka 4
Gifu 2
Oita Trinita 3
Kagura Shimane 0
Yokohama F. Marinos 3
Atletico Suzuka 0
Okayama 0
Tochigi SC 1
Shimizu S-Pulse 8
Shunan Public University 0
Kyoto 3
Kochi United 1
Kawasaki Frontale 5
Sapporo University FC 0
Verdy 2
Blaublitz 1
Shonan Bellmare 3
Vertfee Yaita 0
Iwata 5
Matsumoto Yamaga 2
Nagoya Grampus 2
Doshisha Univ. 0
Chiba 1
Kanazawa 2
Cerezo Osaka 3
Kansai 1
Vegalta Sendai 2
Honda FC 1
Urawa Reds 1
Fukushima United 0
Montedio Yamagata 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma 3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Honda Lock 0
Yokohama FC 4
Sony Sendai 3
1/16-finals
Avispa Fukuoka 3
Iwate Grulla Morioka 1
FC Tokyo 2
V-Varen Nagasaki 3
Sagan Tosu 3
Kumamoto 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Kofu 2
Vissel Kobe 2
Renofa Yamaguchi 1
Kashiwa Reysol 2
Tokushima 1
Kashima Antlers 3
Omiya Ardija 0
Gamba Osaka 3
Oita Trinita 1
Yokohama F. Marinos 0
Tochigi SC 2
Shimizu S-Pulse 0
Kyoto 1
Kawasaki Frontale 0
Verdy 1
Shonan Bellmare 0
Iwata 1
Nagoya Grampus 1
Kanazawa 0
Cerezo Osaka 3
Vegalta Sendai 2
Urawa Reds 0
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5
Yokohama FC 0
1/8-finals
Avispa Fukuoka 2
V-Varen Nagasaki 0
Sagan Tosu 1
Kofu 3
Vissel Kobe 2
Kashiwa Reysol 1
Kashima Antlers 2
Gamba Osaka 0
Tochigi SC 1
Kyoto 2
Verdy 2
Iwata 1
Nagoya Grampus 1
Cerezo Osaka 2
Thespakusatsu Gunma 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1
Quarter-finals
Avispa Fukuoka 1
Kofu 2
Vissel Kobe 0
Kashima Antlers 1
Kyoto 2
Verdy 1
Cerezo Osaka 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Semi-finals
Kofu 1
Kashima Antlers 0
Kyoto 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Final
Kofu 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1
