Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Sub
Kajiura Y. In: Sato R.
Out: Kajiura Y.
17'
17'
Takagi Y.
Assist: Fukuta M.
40'
40'
Umeki R.
Assist: Furuyama K.
AI Match Summary
The J2/J3 League game between Tokushima and Imabari finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tokushima.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tokushima
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tokushima carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Tokushima a 59% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Tokushima Clean Sheet 19%
Imabari Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tokushima | Imabari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 7 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 12 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2026 J2/J3 League
Tokushima vs Imabari
2:1
Mar 22, 2026 J2/J3 League
Imabari vs Tokushima
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 J2 League
Tokushima vs Imabari
1:0
May 31, 2025 J2 League
Imabari vs Tokushima
0:1
Apr 9, 2025 J.League Cup
Imabari vs Tokushima
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tokushima Compare
Top Goalscorer Takagi Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Imabari Compare
Top Goalscorer Umeki R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tokushima 40 / 100
Imabari 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tokushima Imabari
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tokushima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Imabari conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.
Tokushima's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Tokushima remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Tokushima VS Imabari
1 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tokushima
(Home) 26 Sept
Tokushima
3 : 0 Tochigi City
23 Sept
Gamba Osaka
5 : 0 Tokushima
19 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1 Tokushima
12 Sept
Blaublitz
4 : 1 Tokushima
05 Sept
Tokushima
1 : 0 Iwaki
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Tokushima
3 : 0 Tochigi City
05 Sept
Tokushima
1 : 0 Iwaki
29 Aug
Tokushima
1 : 0 Oita Trinita
26 Aug
Tokushima
3 : 0 FC Tokushima
16 Aug
Tokushima
0 : 0 Sagan Tosu
Page 1 of 3
Imabari
(Away) 26 Sept
Imabari
1 : 2 Shonan Bellmare
23 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 0 Imabari
19 Sept
Yokohama FC
2 : 1 Imabari
12 Sept
Imabari
1 : 0 Sagan Tosu
06 Sept
Oita Trinita
1 : 1 Imabari
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 0 Imabari
19 Sept
Yokohama FC
2 : 1 Imabari
06 Sept
Oita Trinita
1 : 1 Imabari
02 Sept
Kanazawa
2 : 1 Imabari
22 Aug
Toyama
4 : 0 Imabari
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 18 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 37:15 | 43 |
| 2 | Blaublitz | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 23:16 | 35 |
| 3 | Shonan Bellmare | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 28:20 | 31 |
| 4 | Yokohama FC | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 36:28 | 29 |
| 5 | SC Sagamihara | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 33:36 | 28 |
| 6 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 27:39 | 23 |
| 7 | Montedio Yamagata | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:25 | 22 |
| 8 | Tochigi City | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22:35 | 21 |
| 9 | Vanraure | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 16:23 | 18 |
| 10 | Tochigi SC | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 24:31 | 17 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kofu | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 20:12 | 33 |
| 2 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 28:22 | 31 |
| 3 | Iwaki | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 26:20 | 31 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 39:29 | 30 |
| 5 | Fujieda MYFC | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 24:23 | 30 |
| 6 | Gifu | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 23:25 | 27 |
| 7 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 33:25 | 26 |
| 8 | Iwata | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 20:25 | 25 |
| 9 | Fukushima United | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 30:43 | 18 |
| 10 | Nagano Parceiro | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17:36 | 16 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toyama | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 40:26 | 38 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 24:19 | 35 |
| 3 | Tokushima | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 38:23 | 32 |
| 4 | Kochi United | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 25:23 | 30 |
| 5 | Ehime | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 26:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Kanazawa | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 20:23 | 27 |
| 7 | Nara Club | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 27:36 | 21 |
| 8 | FC Osaka | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 18:23 | 20 |
| 9 | Imabari | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 15:21 | 20 |
| 10 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 15:34 | 19 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 35:13 | 47 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 27:16 | 33 |
| 3 | Sagan Tosu | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 26:18 | 32 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 27:24 | 29 |
| 5 | Kumamoto | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 21:21 | 27 |
| 6 | Gainare Tottori | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 24:25 | 27 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 19:20 | 22 |
| 8 | Reilac Shiga | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 16:29 | 21 |
| 9 | Ryukyu | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 17:28 | 17 |
| 10 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 18 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 17:35 | 15 |
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)
