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Toledo 2 vs Daimiel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 18 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

Toledo 2 in this Tercera Division - Group 18 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toledo 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Toledo 2
20%
Draws
16%
Daimiel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Toledo 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Daimiel haven't matched Toledo 2's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Toledo 2 taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 18 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Toledo 2 Clean Sheet 16%
Daimiel Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toledo 2 Daimiel
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.33 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo 2 vs Daimiel
1:0
Nov 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Daimiel vs Toledo 2
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toledo 2 41 / 100
Daimiel 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toledo 2 Daimiel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Toledo 2 scored in 69% of their last 36 outings.

Daimiel has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Daimiel's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Toledo 2 VS Daimiel
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Toledo 2

(Home)
14 May
Toledo 2
2 : 1
Illescas
07 May
Guadalajara
2 : 0
Toledo 2
29 Apr
Toledo 2
1 : 1
CD Pedroneras
23 Apr
Toledo 2
1 : 4
Azuqueca
16 Apr
Madridejos
2 : 0
Toledo 2
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Daimiel

(Away)
25 Aug
Villacanas
1 : 0
Daimiel
17 May
CD Puertollano
5 : 0
Daimiel
10 May
Daimiel
1 : 2
UD Almansa
02 May
Marchamalo
1 : 0
Daimiel
25 Apr
Atletico Ibanes
0 : 0
Daimiel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Talavera 38 25 9 4 85:27 84
2 UD Almansa 38 24 7 7 62:32 79
3 Quintanar del Rey 38 21 12 5 48:19 75
4 Manzanares 38 21 10 7 59:24 73
5 Madridejos 38 20 12 6 43:21 72
6 Villarrubia 38 17 14 7 50:35 65
7 Marchamalo 38 17 8 13 55:51 59
8 Mora CF 38 16 9 13 51:39 57
9 Villarrobledo 38 15 9 14 58:49 54
10 CD Puertollano 38 14 11 13 54:46 53
11 CD Pedroneras 38 14 9 15 45:37 51
12 Toledo 2 38 16 2 20 47:55 50
13 Atletico Ibanes 38 12 12 14 42:40 48
14 Albacete B 38 13 8 17 59:56 47
15 Manchego Ciudad Real 38 13 7 18 47:57 46
16 Almagro 38 11 11 16 43:44 44
17 La Gineta 38 11 10 17 39:53 43
18 Daimiel 38 11 7 20 39:67 40
19 Alcazar 38 2 5 31 21:117 11
20 Hellin Deportivo 38 0 2 36 3:81 2
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)