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Toledo 2 vs Illescas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Toledo 2 in this Tercera Division - Group 18 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toledo 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Toledo 2
30%
Draws
51%
Illescas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Illescas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Illescas lately — more wins on the board than Toledo 2.
  • Model gives Illescas a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 18 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Toledo 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Illescas Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toledo 2 Illescas
Matches Played 36 43
Wins 12 15
Draws 8 14
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.33 1.02
Goals Conceded 1.58 0.98
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo 2 vs Illescas
2:1
Dec 18, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs Toledo 2
2:1
May 8, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo 2 vs Illescas
3:2
Dec 20, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs Toledo 2
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toledo 2 10 / 100
Illescas 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toledo 2 Illescas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Illescas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Toledo 2 found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (36 games).

Illescas has conceded goals in 67% of their last 43 outings.

Solid form: Toledo 2 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Illescas
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Toledo 2

(Home)
14 May
Toledo 2
2 : 1
Illescas
07 May
Guadalajara
2 : 0
Toledo 2
29 Apr
Toledo 2
1 : 1
CD Pedroneras
23 Apr
Toledo 2
1 : 4
Azuqueca
16 Apr
Madridejos
2 : 0
Toledo 2
Page 1 of 8

Illescas

(Away)
03 Oct
Noblejas
1 : 2
Illescas
27 Sept
Illescas
2 : 0
Villarrubia
20 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 2
Illescas
13 Sept
Illescas
0 : 0
Socuellamos
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1
Illescas
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Conquense 38 24 4 10 54:26 76
2 Almagro 38 22 10 6 64:33 76
3 Azuqueca 38 20 10 8 58:31 70
4 UD Almansa 38 17 15 6 54:35 66
5 Quintanar del Rey 38 17 11 10 38:29 62
6 Madridejos 38 16 12 10 47:45 60
7 Illescas 38 16 10 12 50:47 58
8 Villarrobledo 38 15 9 14 44:38 54
9 Marchamalo 38 14 10 14 51:53 52
10 Manchego Ciudad Real 38 14 9 15 41:36 51
11 Toledo 2 38 14 9 15 50:48 51
12 Villarrubia 38 12 12 14 34:34 48
13 CD Pedroneras 38 12 12 14 36:42 48
14 Albacete B 38 10 16 12 47:51 46
15 Mora CF 38 13 7 18 43:48 46
16 Manzanares 38 11 12 15 39:43 45
17 Atletico Ibanes 38 9 15 14 29:42 42
18 La Gineta 38 8 8 22 41:61 32
19 San Jose Obrero 38 7 10 21 37:70 31
20 Munera CF 38 5 7 26 28:73 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)