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Stadium Background

Toledo vs Cazalegas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Meneses V.
51'
Acuna F.
65' Event
Molina L.

AI Match Summary

Toledo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toledo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Toledo
15%
Draws
64%
Cazalegas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cazalegas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Toledo lately — more wins on the board than Cazalegas.
  • Win probability leans Toledo's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Toledo Clean Sheet 68%
Cazalegas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toledo Cazalegas
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 19 4
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.59 0.47
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo vs Cazalegas
6:0
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Cazalegas vs Toledo
0:1
Apr 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo vs Cazalegas
2:0
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Cazalegas vs Toledo
1:0
Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo vs Cazalegas
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toledo Compare

Top Goalscorer Friaza J. L.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Meneses V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Cazalegas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toledo 77 / 100
Cazalegas 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toledo Cazalegas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toledo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cazalegas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Toledo scored in 74% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Cazalegas registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toledo VS Cazalegas
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Toledo

(Home)
05 Aug
Toledo
1 : 3
Navalcarnero
24 May
Toledo
0 : 1
Albacete B
17 May
Albacete B
0 : 0
Toledo
10 May
CD Pedroneras
1 : 0
Toledo
03 May
Toledo
0 : 2
Puertollano C.F.
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Cazalegas

(Away)
10 May
CD Tarancon
3 : 0
Cazalegas
03 May
Cazalegas
2 : 1
CD Pedroneras
26 Apr
Puertollano C.F.
1 : 0
Cazalegas
19 Apr
Cazalegas
0 : 2
San Clemente
11 Apr
Villacanas
1 : 0
Cazalegas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puertollano C.F. 34 22 8 4 54:21 74
2 CD Tarancon 34 22 7 5 62:25 73
3 Toledo 34 19 11 4 55:17 68
4 Albacete B 34 17 13 4 49:17 64
5 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 18 7 9 52:29 61
6 Villarrubia 34 15 8 11 42:35 53
7 Villacanas 34 12 12 10 29:26 48
8 San Clemente 34 12 11 11 36:44 47
9 CD Guadalajara B 34 11 10 13 30:37 43
10 Villarrobledo 34 10 13 11 30:36 43
11 Huracan de Balazote 34 12 5 17 33:45 41
12 Illescas 34 8 13 13 21:32 37
13 Marchamalo 34 10 7 17 38:47 37
14 La Solana 34 8 11 15 26:38 35
15 Azuqueca 34 7 13 14 34:39 34
16 CD Pedroneras 34 7 12 15 28:43 33
17 Sonseca 34 5 7 22 28:69 22
18 Cazalegas 34 4 6 24 17:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)