Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Toledo vs Laranja Mecanica

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2 Estádio Municipal 14 de Dezembro, Toledo
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Perea J.
52' Event
Diego Seolini
73' Event
Jean

AI Match Summary

The Paranaense 2 game between Toledo and Laranja Mecanica finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Laranja Mecanica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Toledo
30%
Draws
39%
Laranja Mecanica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Laranja Mecanica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Laranja Mecanica have managed 0.83 goals a game lately — Toledo are scoring more at 0.97.
  • Laranja Mecanica are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Laranja Mecanica have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Toledo Clean Sheet 23%
Laranja Mecanica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toledo Laranja Mecanica
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.97 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.47 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Paranaense 2
Toledo vs Laranja Mecanica
1:2
Jun 7, 2025 Paranaense 2
Laranja Mecanica vs Toledo
0:1
May 27, 2023 Paranaense 2
Toledo vs Laranja Mecanica
1:3
May 11, 2022 Paranaense 2
Laranja Mecanica vs Toledo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Toledo Compare

Top Goalscorer Jean
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Laranja Mecanica Compare

Top Goalscorer Perea J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diego Seolini
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toledo 10 / 100
Laranja Mecanica 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toledo Laranja Mecanica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Laranja Mecanica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Toledo scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Laranja Mecanica let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Toledo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toledo VS Laranja Mecanica
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Toledo

(Home)
10 May
Parana
6 : 1
Toledo
03 May
Toledo
0 : 2
Parana
25 Apr
Paranavai-PR
0 : 1
Toledo
19 Apr
Toledo
0 : 0
Rio Branco PR
10 Apr
Parana
2 : 0
Toledo
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Laranja Mecanica

(Away)
09 May
Laranja Mecanica
1 : 2
Paranavai-PR
02 May
Paranavai-PR
0 : 0
Laranja Mecanica
25 Apr
Laranja Mecanica
0 : 1
Nacional PR
19 Apr
Paranavai-PR
0 : 2
Laranja Mecanica
11 Apr
Laranja Mecanica
0 : 0
Batel
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parana 9 7 2 0 14:3 23
2 Patriotas 9 6 1 2 16:9 19
3 Laranja Mecanica 9 4 2 3 7:9 14
4 Araucaria 9 3 3 3 13:14 12
5 Rio Branco PR 9 2 5 2 16:14 11
6 Paranavai-PR 9 3 1 5 10:11 10
7 Nacional PR 9 2 4 3 9:12 10
8 Toledo 9 2 4 3 6:10 10
9 Batel 9 2 3 4 10:10 9
10 Prudentopolis 9 1 1 7 4:13 4
Promotion - Paranaense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paranaense 3 2027 (Main)