Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Toledo host Navalcarnero in the Club Friendly. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Toledo at 1.25 goals for, 0.38 against; Navalcarnero at 1 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Toledo have won 0 to Navalcarnero's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 5, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.13 - 0.69) back Toledo to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Toledo lately — more wins on the board than Navalcarnero.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Navalcarnero here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Toledo | Navalcarnero |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 28 |
| Wins | 18 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.38 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.38 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Toledo scored in 72% of their last 32 games.
Navalcarnero has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Toledo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
