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Toledo Villa vs Dayton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The USL League Two game between Toledo Villa and Dayton finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dayton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Toledo Villa
15%
Draws
85%
Dayton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dayton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Dayton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Dayton a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular USL League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Toledo Villa Clean Sheet 14%
Dayton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toledo Villa Dayton
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 8 3
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.47 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.93 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 USL League Two
Toledo Villa vs Dayton
0:1
Jun 3, 2026 USL League Two
Dayton vs Toledo Villa
1:1
Jun 8, 2024 USL League Two
Dayton vs Toledo Villa
0:4
Jun 1, 2024 USL League Two
Toledo Villa vs Dayton
1:0
Jun 24, 2023 USL League Two
Toledo Villa vs Dayton
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toledo Villa 15 / 100
Dayton 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toledo Villa Dayton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dayton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toledo Villa's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Dayton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Dayton lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Toledo Villa VS Dayton
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Toledo Villa

(Home)
12 Jul
Kings Hammer Columbus
4 : 2
Toledo Villa
08 Jul
Toledo Villa
1 : 2
Northern Indiana
27 Jun
Toledo Villa
2 : 3
Northern Indiana
23 Jun
Toledo Villa
0 : 1
Dayton
20 Jun
Toledo Villa
3 : 4
West Virginia
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Dayton

(Away)
12 Jul
Northern Indiana
3 : 2
Dayton
09 Jul
Dayton
1 : 0
West Virginia
06 Jul
Kings Hammer Columbus
2 : 1
Dayton
27 Jun
West Virginia
2 : 1
Dayton
23 Jun
Toledo Villa
0 : 1
Dayton
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