Sport Picks
Match Events
2'
2'
Murray N.
90'
90'
Burke B.
90'
90'
Rogers P.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Tolka advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tolka
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tolka come out ahead of Bangor Celtic on wins alone.
- Model gives Tolka a 43% chance of winning this.
- Tolka have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Tolka, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Tolka Clean Sheet 14%
Bangor Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tolka | Bangor Celtic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 17 | 17 |
| Wins | 6 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.06 | 2.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2013 FAI Cup
Tolka vs Bangor Celtic
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tolka Compare
Top Goalscorer Murray N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rogers P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Bangor Celtic Compare
Top Goalscorer Burke B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tolka 48 / 100
Bangor Celtic 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tolka Bangor Celtic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tolka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bangor Celtic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 17 matches.
Tolka scored in 76% of their last 17 games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Bangor Celtic has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Tolka VS Bangor Celtic
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Tolka
(Home) 19 Jul
Derry City
3 : 0 Tolka
16 May
Fairview Rangers
0 : 3 Tolka
18 Jul
Galway United
2 : 0 Tolka
18 May
Tolka
3 : 1 Janesboro
21 Aug
Tolka
0 : 4 Killester Donnycarney
Page 1 of 4
18 May
Tolka
3 : 1 Janesboro
21 Aug
Tolka
0 : 4 Killester Donnycarney
29 May
Tolka
2 : 1 Waterford
31 May
Tolka
2 : 2 College Corinthians
29 Mar
Tolka
2 : 1 Bangor Celtic
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Bangor Celtic
(Away) 18 Jul
Bangor Celtic
4 : 5 College Corinthians
10 May
Bangor Celtic
4 : 1 River Valley Rangers
19 Jul
Bangor Celtic
0 : 2 Cobh Ramblers
17 May
College Corinthians
1 : 2 Bangor Celtic
22 Jul
Galway United
4 : 1 Bangor Celtic
Page 1 of 4
17 May
College Corinthians
1 : 2 Bangor Celtic
22 Jul
Galway United
4 : 1 Bangor Celtic
24 Jul
Longford
5 : 0 Bangor Celtic
29 Mar
Tolka
2 : 1 Bangor Celtic
17 Apr
Greystones United
1 : 1 Bangor Celtic
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Drogheda -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians -
Pike Rovers 3
Everton AFC 1
TBD -
Longford -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
Carew Park 2
St. Patricks CY 3
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Finn Harps -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
Bandon -
Tolka 2
Bangor Celtic 1
Newbridge Town 1
College Corinthians 2
Limerick -
TBD -
Beggsboro 2
Glenville 3
Phoenix 1
St. Marys 0
TBD -
Dundalk -
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterford -
Kilbarrack Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Bluebell Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
Blarney Utd 3
Parkvilla 2
TBD -
Derry City -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Mervue United -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Sheriff YC 3
Leixlip United 1
TBD -
Avondale United -
Salthill -
TBD -
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
1/16-finals
Drogheda 3
Bohemians 0
Pike Rovers 0
Longford 4
Cobh Ramblers 4
St. Patricks CY 3
Wexford 1
Finn Harps 2
Shelbourne 3
Bandon 0
Tolka 2
College Corinthians 5
Limerick 3
Glenville 0
Phoenix 0
Dundalk 4
Sligo Rovers 2
Waterford 0
Kilbarrack Utd 1
Cork City 3
Bluebell Utd 5
Athlone 4
Blarney Utd 0
Derry City 4
St. Patricks 4
UC Dublin 0
Mervue United 0
Bray 2
Sheriff YC 2
Avondale United 1
Salthill 0
Shamrock Rovers 2
1/8-finals
Drogheda 3
Longford 2
Cobh Ramblers 1
Finn Harps 5
Shelbourne 1
College Corinthians 0
Limerick 3
Dundalk 5
Sligo Rovers 1
Cork City 0
Bluebell Utd 1
Derry City 2
St. Patricks 3
Bray 0
Sheriff YC 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
Quarter-finals
Drogheda 3
Finn Harps 1
Shelbourne 1
Dundalk 5
Sligo Rovers 1
Derry City 0
St. Patricks 0
Shamrock Rovers 2
Semi-finals
Drogheda 1
Dundalk 0
Sligo Rovers 3
Shamrock Rovers 0
Final
Drogheda 2
Sligo Rovers 3
