Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Mashigo K.
39'
39'
O'Dwyer B.
Own Goal
63'
63'
Lynch D.
AI Match Summary
Tolka in this FAI Cup 2025 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tolka
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Tolka lately — more wins on the board than Janesboro.
- Model gives Tolka a 42% chance of winning this.
- Tolka have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Tolka, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 99%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 99%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Tolka Clean Sheet 10%
Janesboro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tolka | Janesboro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 17 | 6 |
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 8 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.06 | 2.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.98 | 1.92 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 18, 2025 FAI Cup
Tolka vs Janesboro
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tolka Compare
Top Goalscorer Mashigo K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Baramidze L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99
Janesboro Compare
Top Goalscorer Lynch D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tolka 40 / 100
Janesboro 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tolka Janesboro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Janesboro has conceded goals in 100% of their last 6 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Tolka scored in 76% of their last 17 games.
Janesboro's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Tolka VS Janesboro
1.63 Goals Scored 1.83
2 Goals Conceded 2.33
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 83%
Recent Form & Match History
Tolka
(Home) 19 Jul
Derry City
3 : 0 Tolka
16 May
Fairview Rangers
0 : 3 Tolka
18 Jul
Galway United
2 : 0 Tolka
18 May
Tolka
3 : 1 Janesboro
21 Aug
Tolka
0 : 4 Killester Donnycarney
Page 1 of 4
18 May
Tolka
3 : 1 Janesboro
21 Aug
Tolka
0 : 4 Killester Donnycarney
29 May
Tolka
2 : 1 Waterford
31 May
Tolka
2 : 2 College Corinthians
29 Mar
Tolka
2 : 1 Bangor Celtic
Page 1 of 2
Janesboro
(Away) 18 Jul
Janesboro
0 : 4 Sligo Rovers
16 May
St. Michaels
1 : 3 Janesboro
18 May
Tolka
3 : 1 Janesboro
20 Aug
UC Dublin
3 : 1 Janesboro
22 May
Janesboro
2 : 1 Sheriff YC
Page 1 of 2
16 May
St. Michaels
1 : 3 Janesboro
18 May
Tolka
3 : 1 Janesboro
20 Aug
UC Dublin
3 : 1 Janesboro
02 Apr
St John Bosco
2 : 4 Janesboro
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Treaty United -
TBD -
TBD -
Derry City -
Drogheda -
TBD -
Crumlin Utd 4
Lucan Utd 2
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
North End United 1
Castlebar Celtic 4
TBD -
Longford -
Kerry -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
College Corinthians 1
Bangor Celtic 2
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Midleton 0
Killester Donnycarney 6
TBD -
Bohemians -
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Bray -
TBD -
Wayside Celtic 4
River Valley Rangers 0
Cork City -
TBD -
Leicester Celtic AFC 2
Fanad United 1
Waterford -
TBD -
St Mochta's 4
Douglas Hall 0
St. Patricks -
TBD -
Ringmahon Rangers 1
University College Cork 3
Fairview Rangers 4
Baldoyle Utd. 0
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Salthill 2
Liffey Wanderers 1
St. Michaels -
Usher Celtic -
Galway United -
TBD -
Tolka 3
Janesboro 1
1/16-finals
Treaty United 1
Derry City 5
Drogheda 5
Crumlin Utd 0
Shamrock Rovers 4
Wexford 0
Castlebar Celtic 3
Longford 6
Kerry 2
Athlone 1
Bangor Celtic 0
Cobh Ramblers 2
Killester Donnycarney 0
Bohemians 7
Dundalk 0
Sligo Rovers 2
Finn Harps 3
UC Dublin 0
Bray 3
Wayside Celtic 0
Cork City 3
Leicester Celtic AFC 0
Waterford 5
St Mochta's 1
St. Patricks 8
University College Cork 0
Fairview Rangers 0
Shelbourne 4
Salthill 1
St. Michaels 0
Galway United 2
Tolka 0
1/8-finals
Derry City 1
Drogheda 2
Shamrock Rovers 2
Longford 1
Kerry 2
Cobh Ramblers 0
Bohemians 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Finn Harps 3
Bray 1
Cork City 2
Waterford 1
St. Patricks 2
Shelbourne 0
Salthill 0
Galway United 4
Quarter-finals
Drogheda 1
Shamrock Rovers 2
Kerry 4
Sligo Rovers 3
Finn Harps 0
Cork City 3
St. Patricks 3
Galway United 1
Semi-finals
Shamrock Rovers 6
Kerry 1
Cork City 3
St. Patricks 0
Final
Shamrock Rovers 2
Cork City 0
