Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tolka vs Tralee

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tolka in this FAI Cup 2010 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Tolka
20%
Draws
20%
Tralee
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tolka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Tolka have won more games recently than Tralee.
  • Tolka are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Tolka have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tolka, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tolka Clean Sheet 20%
Tralee Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tolka Tralee
Matches Played 17 10
Wins 6 3
Draws 3 2
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.47 0.8
Goals Conceded 2.06 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2010 FAI Cup
Tolka vs Tralee
3:0
May 16, 2010 FAI Cup
Tralee vs Tolka
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tolka 85 / 100
Tralee 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tolka Tralee

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tolka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Tolka found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (17 games).

Tralee let in goals in 70% of their last 10 matches.

Away concern: Tralee has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tolka VS Tralee
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tolka

(Home)
19 Jul
Derry City
3 : 0
Tolka
16 May
Fairview Rangers
0 : 3
Tolka
18 Jul
Galway United
2 : 0
Tolka
18 May
Tolka
3 : 1
Janesboro
21 Aug
Tolka
0 : 4
Killester Donnycarney
Page 1 of 4

Tralee

(Away)
23 Apr
Youghal
2 : 1
Tralee
16 Apr
Tralee
0 : 0
Youghal
30 Mar
Tralee
0 : 4
Waterford
23 May
Tolka
3 : 0
Tralee
16 May
Tralee
2 : 2
Tolka
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Glenville 1
Bohemians 7
Dublin Bus 0
Shelbourne 2
Drogheda 1
UC Dublin 2
Bray 4
Derry City 3
Finn Harps 3
Crumlin Utd 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Athlone 0
Cork City 2
Bluebell Utd 1
Monaghan United 3
Carlow 2
Longford 1
Waterford 0
Shamrock Rovers 5
Wexford 1
Galway United 5
Malahide United 0
Tullamore 1
Salthill 3
Dundalk 0
St. Patricks 1
Belgrove 2
Avondale United 1
Limerick 3
Tolka 1
Mervue United 1
Sporting Fingal 5
1/8-finals
Bohemians 1
Shelbourne 0
UC Dublin 2
Bray 3
Finn Harps 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Cork City 0
Monaghan United 1
Longford 1
Shamrock Rovers 2
Galway United 4
Salthill 2
St. Patricks 2
Belgrove 0
Limerick 2
Sporting Fingal 3
Quarter-finals
Bohemians 3
Bray 0
Sligo Rovers 3
Monaghan United 0
Shamrock Rovers 6
Galway United 0
St. Patricks 3
Sporting Fingal 1
Semi-finals
Bohemians 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
St. Patricks 2
Final
Sligo Rovers 1
Shamrock Rovers 0