Sport Picks
Match Events
21'
21'
Moran D.
51'
51'
Townley M.
58'
58'
Kiely W.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Tolka advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
20%
46%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Waterford
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Waterford carry the better recent record into this one.
- Waterford are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Waterford arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Tolka, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Tolka Clean Sheet 10%
Waterford Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tolka | Waterford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 17 | 34 |
| Wins | 6 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 12 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.06 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 29, 2015 FAI Cup
Tolka vs Waterford
2:1
Jun 19, 2007 FAI Cup
Waterford vs Tolka
4:1
Jun 15, 2007 FAI Cup
Tolka vs Waterford
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tolka Compare
Top Goalscorer Moran D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Townley M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Waterford Compare
Top Goalscorer Kiely W.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tolka 18 / 100
Waterford 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tolka Waterford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Waterford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Tolka found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (17 games).
Waterford let in goals in 79% of their last 34 matches.
Recent resilience: Tolka stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tolka VS Waterford
0 Goals Scored 2.25
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Tolka
(Home) 19 Jul
Derry City
3 : 0 Tolka
16 May
Fairview Rangers
0 : 3 Tolka
18 Jul
Galway United
2 : 0 Tolka
18 May
Tolka
3 : 1 Janesboro
21 Aug
Tolka
0 : 4 Killester Donnycarney
Page 1 of 4
18 May
Tolka
3 : 1 Janesboro
21 Aug
Tolka
0 : 4 Killester Donnycarney
29 May
Tolka
2 : 1 Waterford
31 May
Tolka
2 : 2 College Corinthians
29 Mar
Tolka
2 : 1 Bangor Celtic
Page 1 of 2
Waterford
(Away) 18 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 2 Waterford
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2 Derry City
11 Sept
Waterford
1 : 1 Dundalk
04 Sept
Waterford
3 : 0 Sligo Rovers
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2 Waterford
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 2 Waterford
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2 Waterford
21 Aug
Sligo Rovers
0 : 0 Waterford
25 Jul
Galway United
0 : 0 Waterford
03 Jul
Derry City
2 : 4 Waterford
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Bray -
TBD -
TBD -
Limerick -
Firhouse 1
Glenville 0
TBD -
Bohemians -
Tolka -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterford -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
Dunboyne 0
Killester Donnycarney 3
Derry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Edenderry Town -
Cabinteely -
TBD -
TBD -
Drogheda -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
North End United 4
University College Cork 0
TBD -
Galway United -
Cobh Wanderers 2
Clonmel Celtic 0
St. Marys 0
Avondale United 1
Crumlin Utd 1
College Corinthians 0
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Sheriff YC -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Liffey Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
Cockhill 1
Casement Celtic 0
Arklow 2
St Mochta's 5
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
Longford -
1/16-finals
Bray 3
Limerick 1
Firhouse 1
Bohemians 4
Tolka 2
Waterford 1
Cobh Ramblers 0
Killester Donnycarney 3
Derry City 3
Edenderry Town 0
Cabinteely 1
Drogheda 3
St. Patricks 2
Shamrock Rovers 1
Wexford 0
Cork City 2
Dundalk 5
Shelbourne 0
North End United 0
Galway United 1
Cobh Wanderers 6
Avondale United 3
Crumlin Utd 0
Sligo Rovers 2
Sheriff YC 3
UC Dublin 1
Liffey Wanderers 2
Athlone 3
Cockhill 3
St Mochta's 0
Finn Harps 1
Longford 2
1/8-finals
Bray 1
Bohemians 0
Tolka 0
Killester Donnycarney 4
Derry City 3
Drogheda 0
St. Patricks 0
Cork City 4
Dundalk 4
Galway United 1
Cobh Wanderers 0
Sligo Rovers 4
Sheriff YC 3
Athlone 2
Cockhill 0
Longford 2
Quarter-finals
Bray 2
Killester Donnycarney 0
Derry City 1
Cork City 4
Dundalk 4
Sligo Rovers 0
Sheriff YC 1
Longford 3
Semi-finals
Bray 0
Cork City 1
Dundalk 2
Longford 0
Final
Cork City 0
Dundalk 1
