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Tollnes vs Larvik Turn

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 2014 game between Tollnes and Larvik Turn finished 5-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tollnes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Tollnes
15%
Draws
39%
Larvik Turn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tollnes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Larvik Turn carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Tollnes a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Tollnes Clean Sheet 10%
Larvik Turn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tollnes Larvik Turn
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.97 2.22
Goals Conceded 2.52 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2014 Division 3 - Group 5
Tollnes vs Larvik Turn
5:3
Jun 25, 2014 Division 3 - Group 5
Larvik Turn vs Tollnes
0:2
Sep 16, 2013 Division 3 - Group 5
Tollnes vs Larvik Turn
1:5
May 27, 2013 Division 3 - Group 5
Larvik Turn vs Tollnes
0:0
Oct 15, 2012 Division 3 - Group 5
Larvik Turn vs Tollnes
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tollnes 40 / 100
Larvik Turn 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tollnes Larvik Turn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tollnes's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Larvik Turn's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Tollnes remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tollnes VS Larvik Turn
3.13 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tollnes

(Home)
13 Apr
Tollnes
0 : 5
Odds BK
24 Oct
Tollnes
1 : 0
Sandnes Ulf 2
17 Oct
Algard
3 : 1
Tollnes
09 Oct
Tollnes
3 : 3
IL Express
06 Oct
Tollnes
3 : 1
Odds BK 3
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Larvik Turn

(Away)
24 Oct
Vestfossen
5 : 1
Larvik Turn
17 Oct
Larvik Turn
2 : 1
Fagerborg
10 Oct
Birkebeineren
1 : 5
Larvik Turn
03 Oct
Larvik Turn
0 : 7
Lommedalen
28 Sept
Mjondalen 2
1 : 0
Larvik Turn
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