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Tollygunge Agragami vs Calcutta Police

India India

Calcutta Premier Division 2024
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AI Match Summary

Tollygunge Agragami play Calcutta Police in the Calcutta Premier Division 2024. Calcutta Police are favorites here. Recently, Tollygunge Agragami averaged 0.79 goals scored and 2.96 conceded. Calcutta Police averaged 0.84 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, Tollygunge Agragami won 0, Calcutta Police won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 2, 2024 ended 2:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for Tollygunge Agragami and 1.50 for Calcutta Police. This points to a Calcutta Police double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Tollygunge Agragami
15%
Draws
66%
Calcutta Police
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Calcutta Police

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Tollygunge Agragami picked up more points recently compared to Calcutta Police.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.73 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Tollygunge Agragami Clean Sheet 16%
Calcutta Police Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tollygunge Agragami Calcutta Police
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 3 6
Draws 3 5
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 0.79 0.84
Goals Conceded 2.96 1.6
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2024 Calcutta Premier Division
Tollygunge Agragami vs Calcutta Police
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tollygunge Agragami Compare

Top Goalscorer Naskar K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kundu S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Calcutta Police Compare

Top Goalscorer Das P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nag A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tollygunge Agragami 20 / 100
Calcutta Police 61 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tollygunge Agragami Calcutta Police

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calcutta Police Win (2)
Secondary Pick Calcutta Police & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +72.7%
9.09
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tollygunge Agragami attacking → ← attacking Calcutta Police

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tollygunge Agragami scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

Calcutta Police let in goals in 76% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Tollygunge Agragami went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Calcutta Police lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 23
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Diamond Harbour12102032:732
2Suruchi Sangha1273219:924
3Mohammedan1254324:1419
4Kidderpore SC1254316:1519
5United SC1253415:1118
6BSS Sporting1236312:1615
7Southern Samity1242616:1514
8Patha Chakra1242614:1614
9Aryan1233615:1512
10Measures Club1233614:2312
11Wari1233615:2912
12Kalighat Milan Sangha122556:1211
13Army Red1224612:2810
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1East Bengal12111035:434
2Bhawanipore12101135:431
3Calcutta Customs1273222:1324
4Peerless1261520:1419
5Kalighat SL1261521:1719
6Calcutta Police1253413:1218
7Mohun Bagan1244428:1516
8George Telegrapher1250712:2015
9Rainbow AC1227315:1713
10Railway FC1231811:2910
11Eastern Railway122285:288
12Police AC121478:257
13Tollygunge Agragami1212913:405