Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tolmin vs Bistrc

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Tolmin Logo

Tolmin

5 - 1
FT
Bistrc Logo

Bistrc

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 game between Tolmin and Bistrc finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tolmin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Tolmin
35%
Draws
20%
Bistrc
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tolmin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Tolmin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Tolmin a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Tolmin Clean Sheet 20%
Bistrc Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tolmin Bistrc
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.83 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Bistrc
5:1
Aug 15, 2025 3. SNL - West
Bistrc vs Tolmin
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tolmin 85 / 100
Bistrc 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tolmin Bistrc

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tolmin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bistrc conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Tolmin has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Tolmin scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tolmin VS Bistrc
2.63 Goals Scored 1.29
0.63 Goals Conceded 3.14
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Tolmin

(Home)
13 Sept
Ziri
2 : 4
Tolmin
05 Sept
Tolmin
2 : 2
Skofja Loka
29 Aug
Tolmin
1 : 0
IB 1975 Ljubljana
22 Aug
Sencur
3 : 3
Tolmin
15 Aug
Tolmin
1 : 1
Dob
Page 1 of 6

Bistrc

(Away)
23 May
Bistrc
3 : 3
Zidgrad Idrija
16 May
Skofja Loka
3 : 4
Bistrc
09 May
Bistrc
1 : 3
IB 1975 Ljubljana
02 May
Izola
5 : 0
Bistrc
25 Apr
Bistrc
0 : 3
Vrhnika
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vrhnika 26 17 5 4 63:21 56
2 Sencur 26 16 6 4 46:27 54
3 Dob 26 15 5 6 54:29 50
4 Tolmin 26 14 3 9 47:33 45
5 Izola 26 12 6 8 53:39 42
6 Rudar Trbovlje 26 11 8 7 56:39 41
7 IB 1975 Ljubljana 26 11 3 12 35:44 36
8 Sobec Lesce 26 10 6 10 31:32 36
9 Skofja Loka 26 7 9 10 37:42 30
10 Ziri 26 7 6 13 30:52 27
11 Fama Vipava 26 6 8 12 28:42 26
12 Ljubljana Svoboda 26 6 5 15 30:51 23
13 Zidgrad Idrija 26 6 4 16 34:57 22
14 Bistrc 26 5 4 17 35:71 19
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)