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Tolmin vs Ziri Prediction & H2H Stats

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Tolmin Logo

Tolmin

3 - 1
FT
Ziri Logo

Ziri

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tolmin in this 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tolmin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Tolmin
35%
Draws
15%
Ziri
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tolmin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Ziri haven't matched Tolmin's recent run of results.
  • Tolmin are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tolmin have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tolmin Clean Sheet 20%
Ziri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tolmin Ziri
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 2 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 3. SNL - West
Ziri vs Tolmin
2:4
May 23, 2026 3. SNL - West
Ziri vs Tolmin
0:3
Nov 8, 2025 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Ziri
3:1
May 13, 2023 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Ziri
2:0
Nov 8, 2022 3. SNL - West
Ziri vs Tolmin
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tolmin 85 / 100
Ziri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tolmin Ziri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tolmin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Tolmin scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Ziri conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Tolmin went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tolmin VS Ziri
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tolmin

(Home)
03 Oct
Tolmin
2 : 0
Ljubljana Svoboda
27 Sept
Tolmin
5 : 1
Rudar Trbovlje
19 Sept
Tolmin
0 : 1
Izola
13 Sept
Ziri
2 : 4
Tolmin
05 Sept
Tolmin
2 : 2
Skofja Loka
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Ziri

(Away)
03 Oct
Ziri
1 : 2
Izola
27 Sept
Ziri
0 : 0
IB 1975 Ljubljana
20 Sept
Skofja Loka
1 : 1
Ziri
13 Sept
Ziri
2 : 4
Tolmin
04 Sept
Sencur
0 : 0
Ziri
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vrhnika 26 17 5 4 63:21 56
2 Sencur 26 16 6 4 46:27 54
3 Dob 26 15 5 6 54:29 50
4 Tolmin 26 14 3 9 47:33 45
5 Izola 26 12 6 8 53:39 42
6 Rudar Trbovlje 26 11 8 7 56:39 41
7 IB 1975 Ljubljana 26 11 3 12 35:44 36
8 Sobec Lesce 26 10 6 10 31:32 36
9 Skofja Loka 26 7 9 10 37:42 30
10 Ziri 26 7 6 13 30:52 27
11 Fama Vipava 26 6 8 12 28:42 26
12 Ljubljana Svoboda 26 6 5 15 30:51 23
13 Zidgrad Idrija 26 6 4 16 34:57 22
14 Bistrc 26 5 4 17 35:71 19
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)