Sport Picks

Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2023

Savedalen

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tolo IF play Savedalen in the Division 2 - Västra Götaland 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tolo IF averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. Savedalen averaged 1.47 goals scored and 2.09 conceded. In past meetings, Tolo IF won 0, Savedalen won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 22, 2023 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Tolo IF and 1.24 for Savedalen. This points to a Savedalen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Tolo IF

22%

Draws

46%

Savedalen

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Savedalen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Tolo IF picked up more points recently compared to Savedalen.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 1.24 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 60%

Over 3.5 Goals 36%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Tolo IF Clean Sheet 19%

Savedalen Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tolo IF	Savedalen
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	7	10
Draws	10	10
Losses	13	14
Goals Scored	1.23	1.47
Goals Conceded	1.87	2.09

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2023 Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Tolo IF vs Savedalen

Possession: 55% - 59% Cards: 1 - 0

0:1

Jun 10, 2023 Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Savedalen vs Tolo IF

Possession: 57% - 42% Cards: 1 - 3

4:1

Oct 1, 2022 Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Savedalen vs Tolo IF

Possession: 48% - 56% Cards: 2 - 3

6:2

Jun 17, 2022 Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Tolo IF vs Savedalen

Possession: 42% - 45% Cards: 2 - 1

0:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tolo IF 33 / 100

Savedalen 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tolo IF Savedalen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Savedalen or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tolo IF attacking → ← attacking Savedalen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tolo IF scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Savedalen let in goals in 79% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

Tolo IF went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Savedalen lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 40

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Onsala	26	16	2	8	51:29	50
2	Frolunda	26	15	5	6	49:38	50
3	BK Astrio	26	15	4	7	40:24	49
4	Tord	26	13	3	10	49:39	42
5	Varbergs GIF	26	12	5	9	45:42	41
6	Husqvarna	26	11	6	9	47:33	39
7	Laholms	26	11	3	12	36:39	36
8	Qviding	26	10	4	12	56:52	34
9	Lindome	26	10	3	13	44:46	33
10	Landvetter	26	9	5	12	35:47	32
11	Savedalen	26	9	4	13	37:45	31
12	Hittarp	26	8	7	11	43:59	31
13	Tolo IF	26	7	9	10	32:38	30
14	Nassjo	26	3	6	17	25:58	15