Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 game between Tolosa and Lagun Onak finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lagun Onak.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Lagun Onak carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Lagun Onak's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Lagun Onak have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tolosa | Lagun Onak |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 16 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 21 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.2 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Tolosa's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Lagun Onak has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.
Lagun Onak lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Tolosa
(Home)Lagun Onak
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alaves B | 38 | 21 | 13 | 4 | 72:31 | 76 |
| 2 | Beasain | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 65:36 | 70 |
| 3 | Portugalete | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 60:33 | 70 |
| 4 | Barakaldo | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 64:46 | 69 |
| 5 | Basconia | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 45:32 | 65 |
| 6 | CD Vitoria | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 55:49 | 59 |
| 7 | San Ignacio | 38 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 57:48 | 58 |
| 8 | SCD Durango | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 42:29 | 57 |
| 9 | Leioa | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 55:38 | 56 |
| 10 | Anaitasuna FT | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 48:49 | 52 |
| 11 | Lagun Onak | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 42:44 | 51 |
| 12 | Pasaia | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 36:43 | 50 |
| 13 | SD Deusto | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 42:40 | 49 |
| 14 | Urduliz FT | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 39:57 | 45 |
| 15 | Aurrera Ondarroa | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 36:55 | 38 |
| 16 | Santutxu FC | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 42:60 | 38 |
| 17 | Uritarra | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 38:52 | 38 |
| 18 | Amurrio Club | 38 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 39:45 | 37 |
| 19 | Beti Gazte | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 34:80 | 26 |
| 20 | Tolosa | 38 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 43:87 | 26 |
