Sport Picks
Toluca U21 vs Necaxa U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga MX U21 
Match Events
30'
30'
Penalty Missed
43'
43'
Diaz C.
85'
85'
Diaz C.
AI Match Summary
The Liga MX U21 game between Toluca U21 and Necaxa U21 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Toluca U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toluca U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Toluca U21 come out ahead of Necaxa U21 on wins alone.
- Toluca U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Liga MX U21 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Toluca U21 have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Toluca U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Necaxa U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Toluca U21 | Necaxa U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 21 | 15 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 Liga MX U21
Toluca U21 vs Necaxa U21
2:0
Feb 21, 2026 Liga MX U21
Necaxa U21 vs Toluca U21
3:2
Jul 12, 2025 Liga MX U21
Toluca U21 vs Necaxa U21
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Toluca U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Diaz C.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Necaxa U21 Compare
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Toluca U21 85 / 100
Necaxa U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Toluca U21 Necaxa U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Toluca U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Toluca U21 scored in 90% of their last 30 games.
Toluca U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Necaxa U21 has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Toluca U21 VS Necaxa U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Toluca U21
(Home) 26 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
2 : 3 Toluca U21
20 Sept
Toluca U21
2 : 1 Santos Laguna U21
15 Sept
Puebla U21
0 : 1 Toluca U21
12 Sept
Toluca U21
2 : 0 Atlas U21
30 Aug
Toluca U21
2 : 1 Juarez U21
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20 Sept
Toluca U21
2 : 1 Santos Laguna U21
12 Sept
Toluca U21
2 : 0 Atlas U21
30 Aug
Toluca U21
2 : 1 Juarez U21
02 Aug
Toluca U21
2 : 0 Necaxa U21
21 Jul
Toluca U21
2 : 1 UNAM Pumas U21
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Necaxa U21
(Away) 27 Sept
Necaxa U21
1 : 0 Club America U21
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
3 : 2 Necaxa U21
11 Sept
Necaxa U21
0 : 2 Puebla U21
05 Sept
Tigres UANL U21
0 : 1 Necaxa U21
28 Aug
Necaxa U21
2 : 1 Cruz Azul U21
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19 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
3 : 2 Necaxa U21
05 Sept
Tigres UANL U21
0 : 1 Necaxa U21
23 Aug
UNAM Pumas U21
0 : 1 Necaxa U21
02 Aug
Toluca U21
2 : 0 Necaxa U21
26 Apr
Cruz Azul U21
3 : 1 Necaxa U21
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca U21 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 20:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Club Leon U21 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 | Club Tijuana U21 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 18:12 | 21 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas U21 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16:14 | 18 |
| 5 | Puebla U21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 11:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Club America U21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14:14 | 15 |
| 7 | Santos Laguna U21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 10:12 | 15 |
| 8 | Monterrey U21 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 9 | Necaxa U21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 11:15 | 14 |
| 10 | Atletico San Luis U21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 17:19 | 13 |
| 11 | Pachuca U21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:15 | 13 |
| 12 | Atlante U21 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Cruz Azul U21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18:16 | 12 |
| 14 | Atlas U21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 15 | UNAM Pumas U21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:14 | 12 |
| 16 | Juarez U21 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 17 | Tigres UANL U21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | 10 |
| 18 | Queretaro U21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10:16 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)
